Louis C.K. could win his lucky 7th Emmy if he can get past Samantha Bee and Stephen Colbert

Louis C.K. is a writer’s writer, at least when it comes to the TV academy. The comedian has earned an incredible 39 Emmy nominations across writing, directing, acting, producing, and editing categories, but all six of his wins are for writing. He could win a lucky seventh this year for his Netflix variety special “Louis C.K.: 2017,” but he’ll have to get past Samantha Bee and Stephen Colbert.

Or it might be more accurate to say that Bee and Colbert will have to get past Louis C.K. because C.K. is the one who has proven dominant in recent years. He has won his last three nominations in this category: for “Live at the Beacon Theatre” (2012), “Oh My God” (2013), and “Live at the Comedy Store” (2015). That’s more wins than anyone else in this race. Even better for C.K. is the fact that a stand-up comedy special has won this award for the last five years in a row.

But in such a strong year for political comedy it may be hard to deny Bee’s writing team for “Not the White House Correspondents’ Dinner” or Colbert’s writing team for “Live Election Night: Democracy’s Series Finale.” Bee is looking for her first Emmy win — or wins — this year, while Colbert is a nine-time past Emmy champ. But they be each other’s biggest disadvantage in this category. Political junkies in the TV academy may be divided between the “Daily Show” alums, giving C.K. a clearer path to his fourth victory in this contest.

Then again, C.K. could lose votes to another comedian’s Netflix special: Sarah Silverman for “A Speck of Dust.” Silverman won this category in 2014 for “We Are Miracles,” so she undoubtedly has fans of her own in the TV academy writers branch. If the two political specials and the two stand-up shows cancel themselves out, that just leaves the Tony Awards, which won this category consecutively in 2010-2011. And the Tonys telecast under consideration is the acclaimed show hosted by James Corden in which “Hamilton” swept, so we mustn’t rule it out.

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