With “Lady Bird” earning more nominations (four) than any other comedy at the Golden Globes, its star Saoirse Ronan is looking stronger and stronger in the race for Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress for her performance as a teenager coming of age during her senior year at a Sacramento high school. Ronan is the consensus choice of more than 1,000 users who have already made their predictions since the nominations were announced on Monday, but it’s not unanimous. Our Top 24 Users especially are warning of an upset by Margot Robbie (“I, Tonya“).
Our Top 24 Users got the highest scores predicting last year’s Golden Globe winners, so they have already shown that they have their fingers on the pulse of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association that decides the winners. The majority of our top users — 20 of them to be exact — agree with the consensus that Ronan will win, but the minority report from the other four warns that Robbie is really out front. Those four daredevil users are vinny, Matheus Abbade, Vic Garre, and Henrique Valente.
Robbie is also forecast to win by one of the seven Expert film journalists currently making their picks: Edward Douglas. It doesn’t hurt that Robbie is playing figure skater Tonya Harding; awards voters often love actors portraying real people — both lead-actor frontrunners, James Franco in “The Disaster Artist” (comedy/musical) and Gary Oldman in “Darkest Hour” (drama) also play biographical roles. And like “Lady Bird,” “I, Tonya” also received nominations for Best Film Comedy/Musical and Best Film Supporting Actress (Allison Janney), so we know the HFPA wholeheartedly supports it. (“Lady Bird” has one extra nomination for Greta Gerwig‘s screenplay.)
Do you agree with our rogue top users who are betting on a Robbie upset, or will Ronan cruise to victory?
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.