Golden Globes predictions by experts: Saoirse Ronan (‘Lady Bird’) widens lead over Margot Robbie (‘I, Tonya’)

A whopping 11 of our 16 Golden Globe experts derived from major media outlets are predicting that Saoirse Ronan will win Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress for her acclaimed performance as the title character in “Lady Bird.” The other five experts are backing the bid by Margot Robbie for her portrayal of disgraced figure skater Tonya Harding in the film “I, Tonya.” (See the Golden Globe predictions by expert.)

While Ronan has lost her previous two Golden Globe races, Robbie, who came to fame in “The Wolf of Wall Street” and “Suicide Squad,” has never contended here. This year she also featured in “Goodbye Christopher Robin,” which could give her a boost with Globe voters who have seen both performances and admire her versatility.

See how our experts rank Golden Globe contenders according to the likelihood of winning in the key races. Use the drop-down menus at the top of each page to see the other categories.

Here’s how the Golden Globe Best Comedy/Musical Actress predictions break down by expert as well as the most up-to-date odds for each of the top six contenders to win (all others have odds of 100/1):

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1. Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird”: 11 experts (3/1 odds)
Thelma Adams (Gold Derby)
Joyce Eng (TV Guide)
Tariq Khan (Fox News)
Michael Musto (NewNowNext)
Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)
Kevin Polowy (Yahoo)
Keith Simanton (IMDB)
Anne Thompson (IndieWire)
Peter Travers (Rolling Stone)
Adnan Virk (ESPN)
Susan Wloszczyna (

2. Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya”: Five experts (11/2 odds)
Edward Douglas (Tracking Board)
Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo)
Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood)
Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)
Brian Truitt (USA Today)

3. Emma Stone, “Battle of the Sexes”

4. Judi Dench, “Victoria and Abdul”

5. Emma Watson, “Beauty and the Beast”

6. Salma Hayek, “Beatriz at Dinner”

PREDICT the Golden Globe nominees now; change them until December 11

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on December 11.

And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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