Golden Globes battle of the breakout stars: Rachel Brosnahan vs. Frankie Shaw could go either way, according to Editors

The Golden Globes love to anoint a new star on a new TV series. And they often love to pair an acting award with a top program winner. Well, that may not clarify much because there are two nominees for Best TV Comedy Actress this year who fit that bill: Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) and Frankie Shaw (“SMILF”). According to Gold Derby’s Editors who cover awards year-round, it could go either way..

Going into the nominations we had predicted that Julia Louis-Dreyfus would finally win this category for “Veep” — despite her six straight Emmy wins the Globes never warmed to her performance as politico Selina Meyer. Her absence opens the door for the newcomers. Brosnahan plays the title character in “Mrs. Maisel,” a jilted wife in the 1950s who turns to stand-up comedy. Chris Beachum and I think she’ll prevail, and she has history on her side: the Globes have been especially generous to Amazon shows, giving Best Comedy Series to “Transparent” (2015) and “Mozart in the Jungle” (2016) in recent years. And last year Billy Bob Thornton won Best TV Drama Actor for another Amazon original, “Goliath.”

Meanwhile, Showtime has never won Best Comedy Series despite several attempts, but it has been warmly received in this category before, with victories for Mary-Louise Parker (“Weeds,” 2006), Toni Collette (“United States of Tara,” 2010), and Laura Linney (“The Big C,” 2011). Now Marcus James Dixon and Matt Noble think Shaw will join that elite group for her performance as the title single mother in her acclaimed new series. And she has another possible advantage in this race: she also created, writes, and directs the series, much like 2013 winner Lena Dunham (“Girls”). Other past winners have been prominent behind the camera, like Laura Dern (“Enlightened,” 2012), Amy Poehler (“Parks and Recreation,” 2013), and Rachel Bloom (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend,” 2016).

Do you agree with our Editors that this is a two-way race, or are we underestimating Alison Brie (“GLOW”), Issa Rae (“Insecure”), or Pamela Adlon (“Better Things”)?

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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