With the Grammy Awards being held on Sunday, February 12, live on CBS, our music experts have now chimed in with their predictions for who will win on music’s biggest night, and with 1/10 odds from our eight Experts, Adele (“Hello”) is predicted to win Record of the Year. It would be her second victory in that category, following her win in 2012 for “Rolling in the Deep.”
All eight of our Experts are predicting Adele will triumph: Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Glenn Gamboa (Newsday), Edna Gundersen (Gold Derby), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Chris Willman (Gold Derby).
The rest of the contenders are much further behind: Beyonce (“Formation”) with 33/1 odds, Lukas Graham (“7 Years”) with 66/1 odds, Twenty One Pilots (“Stressed Out”) with 66/1 odds and Rihanna and Drake (“Work”) with 80/1 odds.
According to our overall combined odds featuring the predictions of all Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users (those who did the best at their winner picks last year), All Star Top 24 (who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ Grammy winners) and All Users, the rankings are nearly the same. The favored pick of over 1,000 people is Adele with 2/13 odds over Beyonce with 12/1 odds. Twenty One Pilots follows with 50/1 odds, and then Drake and Rihanna at 50/1 and Lukas Graham at 66/1.
Our Editors are unanimous, with all six of us betting on Adele: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, O’Neil, Sheehan and myself.
The Top 24 Users are nearly unanimous, with 22 of them backing Adele to win. Only two expect an upset victory by Beyonce, but one of them is Charles Bright, who got the highest score predicting last year’s winners with 90% accuracy. Could he be onto something?
Our All-Star Top 24 are even more strongly in favor of Adele, with 23 betting on her and the last one favoring Beyonce.
Gold Derby readers just like YOU often turn out to be our smartest prognosticators, so it’s important that you give us your predictions. You can continue to update and change your forecasts as often as you like before winner are announced on Feb. 12. Just click “Save” when you’ve settled on your choices. You’ll compete to win a $100 Amazon gift certificate, bragging rights and a place of honor on our leaderboard. Our racetrack odds change as you make your predictions, just as they do when you bet on the Emmys, Oscars, Golden Globes and more. Be sure to read our contest rules and sound off on the Grammy race in our music forum.