Hey, Emma Stone and Viola Davis! After BAFTA, SAG and Globe wins, get your Oscar acceptance speeches ready

With less than two weeks to go before the biggest night in Hollywood, it is now safe to say Emma Stone (“La La Land”) and Viola Davis (“Fences”) should get their Oscar acceptance speeches prepared. After winning a triple crown of precursor awards that includes the Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild (SAG), and BAFTA – history says both women are on track to take home the Academy Award next. (Four of our experts — Tim Gray (Variety), Pete Hammond (Deadline), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby) and Anne Thompson (Indiewire) — dished the Best Actress race soon after the SAG Awards in the video below.)

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Since the SAG Awards started handing out trophies for the 1994 film year, there has only been one instance where a person in any acting category won all three of these prizes but failed to bring home the Oscar: Russell Crowe for “A Beautiful Mind” (2001). After a successful award season sweep, Crowe (who had just won the year before “Gladiator”), lost the Oscar to Denzel Washington for “Training Day.” But we have to remember Crowe was suddenly in the midst of a PR nightmare after BAFTA, battling allegations of a terrible temper that were circulating heavily across the media.

Related: Watch our BAFTA backstage interview with Emma Stone

In every other instance, the statistics clearly show that winning at these three ceremonies makes an actor virtually unbeatable. Let’s take a look back at the women in Stone’s category of Best Actress to see this historical trend leading ultimately to an Oscar victory:

Brie Larson – “Room”, 2015
Julianne Moore – “Still Alice”, 2014
Cate Blanchett – “Blue Jasmine”, 2013
Natalie Portman – “Black Swan”, 2010
Kate Winslet – “The Reader”, 2008
Helen Mirren – “The Queen”, 2006
Reese Witherspoon – “Walk the Line”, 2005
Julia Roberts – “Erin Brockovich”, 2000

UPDATED: Oscar Experts predict winners in all 24 categories

Next, we see that all of the women who successfully took home this triple-victory in Davis’ category of Best Supporting Actress also took home the Oscar:

Patricia Arquette – “Boyhood”, 2014
Anne Hathaway – “Les Miserables”, 2012
Octavia Spencer – “The Help”, 2011
Mo’Nique – “Precious”, 2009
Jennifer Hudson – “Dreamgirls”, 2006
Renee Zellweger – “Cold Mountain”, 2003

Related: Watch our BAFTA backstage interview with Viola Davis

The statistics on the men’s side are just as strong. With the exception of Crowe in 2001, these men all saw their triple-crown of precursors turn into Oscar gold:

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio -“The Revenant”, 2015
Eddie Redmayne – “The Theory of Everything”, 2014
Daniel Day-Lewis – “Lincoln”, 2012
Jean Dujardin – “The Artist”, 2011
Colin Firth – “The King’s Speech”, 2010
Daniel Day-Lewis – “There Will Be Blood”, 2007
Forest Whitaker – “The Last King of Scotland”, 2006
Philip Seymour Hoffman – “Capote”, 2005
Jamie Foxx – “Ray”, 2004
Geoffrey Rush – “Shine”, 1996

Best Supporting Actor
J.K. Simmons – “Whiplash”, 2014
Christopher Plummer – “Beginners”, 2011
Christoph Waltz – “Inglorious Bastards”, 2009
Heath Ledger – “The Dark Knight”, 2008
Javier Bardem – “No Country for Old Men”, 2007
Benicio del Toro – “Traffic”, 2000 (won lead at SAG)

Join in the fierce debate about the Oscar contenders
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Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 26 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.

Video produced by David Janove

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