Emmy experts predict Comedy Guest Actress: Melissa McCarthy (‘SNL’) is the early frontrunner

Melissa McCarthy will win the Emmy for Best Comedy Guest Actress for hosting “Saturday Night Live” this season. That’s according to the early predictions of our Experts, the TV journalists from top media outlets we’ve polled for their picks.

As of this writing eight out of 11 Experts pick McCarthy for the win: Lynn Elber (Associated Pres), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Adnan Virk (ESPN).

This would be McCarthy’s eighth nomination overall and her fifth for “SNL.” She has been nominated in this category for every one of her guest-hosting stints to date (2012-2014, 2016). She has yet to win this race, but she is a past Emmy winner for Best Comedy Actress for the CBS sitcom “Mike and Molly” (2011).

But McCarthy isn’t a sure thing. Two Experts, Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes) and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), are predicting a posthumous victory for Carrie Fisher (“Catastrophe”), who died last December but had already filmed her appearance in season three of the Amazon comedy series. Fisher has two previous Emmy nominations, one in this category for “30 Rock” (2008) and one for Best Variety Special for her one-woman show “Wishful Drinking” (2011).

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One more Expert, Glenn Whipp (LA Times), thinks Angela Bassett will prevail for guest-starring this season on the Netflix series “Master of None.” The Oscar nominated actress has three previous Emmy nominations in longform categories: Best Movie/Mini Actress for playing the title role in “The Rosa Parks Story” (2002) and Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress twice for “American Horror Story” (“Coven” in 2014 and “Freak Show” in 2015). But she has yet to win.

None of our Experts are predicting a win for Christine Baranski (“The Big Bang Theory”), but nine out of 11 expect her to be nominated for her role as Johnny Galecki‘s mother in the CBS sitcom. Baranski has four previous nominations in this category for this role (2009-2010, 2015-2016), and she’s been nominated 15 times overall, but she has only won once: Best Comedy Supporting Actress for “Cybill” (1995). This year she could also be nominated for Best Drama Actress for her role in the “Good Wife” spinoff “The Good Fight.”

Six Experts predict a nomination for Kristen Wiig (“SNL”), who is still looking to win her first Emmy after seven previous nominations. Five of those nominations were for “SNL” — four as a supporting actress when she was a regular cast member (2009-2012), and once for a return appearance as a guest host (2013).

Four Experts forecast a bid for Laura Dern (“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”), who is also looking for overdue Emmy love. She has five previous nominations dating back to 1992, but he has yet to win. This year, though, she has multiple chances, as she could also be nominated for her guest role in “The Last Man on Earth” and her supporting role in the limited series “Big Little Lies.”

Three Experts think Becky Ann Baker will earn her first career Emmy nomination for the last season of “Girls.” Last year her on-screen husband Peter Scolari won Best Comedy Guest Actor. And five women have support from one Expert apiece: Jane Adams (“Atlanta”), Emmy nominee Patti LuPone (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”), Emmy nominee Tovah Feldshuh (“Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”), multiple Emmy winner Alfre Woodard (“A Series of Unfortunate Event”) and Trace Lysette (“Transparent”).

Predict the Emmy nominees now; change them until July 13

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums.

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