The Oscar fields of Costume Design, Production Design and Makeup & Hairstyling often go to visually lavish period or fantasy productions. So who will earn nominations in these races when the final contenders are announced on Tuesday, January 24?
These official racetrack odds below are derived from the predictions of Expert film journalists along with the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the top scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“La La Land” – 9/5
“Jackie” – 5/1
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” – 6/1
“Silence” – 10/1
“Arrival” – 12/1
The Experts strongly favor “Jackie” for the win in the Costume Design contest, with 19 out of 27 backing the docudrama about American first lady Jackie Kennedy: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Weekend Warrior), Joyce Eng (TV Guide), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com). “Jackie’s” costumes were designed by Madeline Fontaine, who has yet to be nominated for an Oscar.
But another seven Experts say it will be the contemporary musical “La La Land”: Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Erik Davis (Fandango), Tim Gray (Variety), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Christopher Rosen (Entertainment Weekly), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). The “La La Land” designs are by Mary Zophres, who has one previous Oscar nom for “True Grit” (2010).
Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere) is the sole Expert betting on “Florence Foster Jenkins,” whose costumes are by Consolata Boyle, a past nominee for dressing “The Queen” (2006)
Our Editors also strongly favor “Jackie,” with six out of seven of us picking it to win: Chris Beachum, Rob Licuria, Matt Noble, Tom O’Neil, Paul Sheehan and myself. Marcus James Dixon forecasts a victory for “La La Land” instead.
However, our Top 24 Users are much less certain. They’re split evenly between “Jackie” and “La La Land,” with nine of those elite users predicting each. But one of those picking “Jackie” is JasonOsia, who had the highest accuracy predicting last year’s Oscar nominations (83%). Another top user is predicting “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them,” designed by three-time Oscar winning industry favorite Colleen Atwood. One more top user is going out on a limb for “Allied” by Joanna Johnston, a past nominee for her costumes for “Lincoln” (2012).
Our All-Star users are also split over the Costume Design frontrunner. Thirteen are betting on “Jackie,” while 10 forecast a victory for “La La Land.”
Though period and fantasy films usually have an advantage in the Best Production Design race thanks to their more elaborate sets, the modern-day LA of “La La Land” (by David Wasco) is the frontrunner this year with support from 21 out of 25 Experts, five out of seven Editors, 18 of our Top 24 Users and 19 of our All-Stars. But “Fantastic Beasts” and “Jackie” are both forces to be reckoned with in that race as well.
“La La Land” didn’t make the list of seven finalists for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. Instead, “Florence Foster Jenkins” leads the way with support from 14 out of 21 Experts, but four out of seven Editors say it will actually be “Deadpool” that wins. Our Top 24 Users are split between those two films as well, with seven picking “Florence” and six picking “Deadpool.” But the All-Stars are more decisive, with 13 forecasting “Florence.”
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how this film is faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before nominations are announced on January 24 at 5:00 am PT/8:00 am ET. Be sure to read our contest rules. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.