By the time of the Oscars on Feb. 26, the top six races should be fairly easy to predict thanks to the precursor prizes handed out by the guilds (producers, directors, actors) as well as the results of the Critics’s Choice, Golden Globes and BAFTA awardsfests.
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Below, our handy-dandy breakdown of the winners to date.
BEST PICTURE
“Arrival,” “Fences,” “Hacksaw Ridge,” “Hell or High Water,” “,” “La La Land,” “Lion,” “Manchester by the Sea,” “Moonlight”
Critics’ Choice: “La La Land”
Golden Globe (Drama): “Moonlight”
Golden Globe (Comedy/Musical): “La La Land”
PGA: “La La Land”
SAG (Ensemble): “Hidden Figures”
BAFTA: Feb. 12
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BEST DIRECTOR
Denis Villeneuve, “Arrival”; Mel Gibson, “Hacksaw Ridge”; Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”; Kenneth Lonergan, “Manchester by the Sea”; Barry Jenkins, “Moonlight”
Critics’ Choice: Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
Golden Globe: Damien Chazelle, “La La Land”
DGA: Feb. 4
BAFTA: Feb. 12
UPDATED: Oscar Experts predict winners in all 24 categories
BEST ACTOR
Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea”; Andrew Garfield, “Hacksaw Ridge”; Ryan Gosling, “La La Land”; Viggo Mortensen, “Captain Fantastic”; Denzel Washington, “Fences”
Critics’ Choice: Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea”
Golden Globe (Drama): Casey Affleck, “Manchester by the Sea”
Golden Globe (Comedy/Musical): Ryan Gosling, “La La Land”
SAG: Denzel Washington, “Fences”
BAFTA: Feb. 12
BEST ACTRESS
Isabelle Huppert, “Elle”; Ruth Negga, “Loving”; Natalie Portman, “Jackie”; Emma Stone, “La La Land”; Meryl Streep, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Critics’ Choice: Natalie Portman, “Jackie”
Golden Globe (Drama): Isabelle Huppert, “Elle”
Golden Globe (Comedy/Musical): Emma Stone, “La La Land”
SAG: Emma Stone, “La La Land”
BAFTA: Feb. 12
UPDATED: Oscar odds and rankings by Experts in all 24 categories
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”; Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Water”; Lucas Hedges, “Manchester by the Sea”; Dev Patel, “Lion”; Michael Shannon, “Nocturnal Animals”
Critics’ Choice: Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
Golden Globe: Aaron Taylor-Johnson, “Nocturnal Animals” – snubbed at Oscars
SAG: Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
BAFTA: Feb. 12
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Viola Davis, “Fences”; Naomie Harris, “Moonlight”; Nicole Kidman, “Lion”; Octavia Spencer, “Hidden Figures”; Michelle Williams, “Manchester by the Sea”
Critics’ Choice: Viola Davis, “Fences”
Golden Globe: Viola Davis, “Fences”
SAG: Viola Davis, “Fences”
BAFTA: Feb. 12
Predict the Oscar winners now; change them till February 26
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 26 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.
