Hey, Sarah Paulson: 70% of fans think you’ll earn Emmy nom for ‘AHS: Roanoke,’ but what do the experts say?

In our recent fan poll, a whopping 70% voted that Sarah Paulson‘s awards streak will continue and that she’ll earn her seventh straight Emmy bid, this time for “American Horror Story: Roaonke.” Paulson is earning Emmy buzz for her latest “AHS” role(s) as “My Roanoke Nightmare” character Shelby Miller, British actress Audrey Tindall, and “Asylum” fan-fave Lana Winters. But what do the Emmy experts think will happen in this year’s nailbiting race for Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress?

As of this writing 20 journalists have made their predictions at Gold Derby, and these 10 believe that Paulson will earn an Emmy nomination: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Ken Tucker (Yahoo).

When our experts’ predictions are combined together, Emmy racetrack odds are generated that place Paulson in sixth place for a nomination. The experts’ other five picks in the Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress category are Judy Davis (“Feud: Bette and Joan”), Laura Dern (“Big Little Lies”), Regina King (“American Crime”), Shailene Woodley (“Big Little Lies”) and Michelle Pfeiffer (“The Wizard of Lies”). See more Emmy odds and rankings.

Emmy voters love rewarding performers who show their range and versatility by playing multiple roles — just look at Tatiana Maslany‘s victory last year for “Orphan Black. So if Paulson does end up earning a nomination, she could really shake up the race. Also in her favor, Paulson is still riding high after making TV history for “The People v. O.J. Simpson” by winning the Emmy, Golden Globe, SAG, Critics’ Choice and TCA Awards all within the same year.

Regarding her trio of roles on “American Horror Story: Roanoke,” Paulson recently told me, “It was a weird thing from an acting standpoint to start the season knowing that I was an actress playing a part, and then midway through the season I was going to be playing the actress who was playing the part.” She added that it would be a “dream come true” to earn a seventh Emmy nomination. Watch our interview with Sarah Paulson.

Predict the Emmy nominees now; change them until July 13

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on July 13. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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