This year’s Tony Awards basically went according to plan with the predicted winner in most of the 24 categories actually prevailing. But, like with any awards show, there are always bound to be upsets. This year our racetrack odds came up short in four races including both directing prizes and one of the acting categories. (See full list of Tony Awards winners.)
Rebecca Taichman was visibly stunned when she was announced as the winner of Best Direction of a Play for her work on the production of “Indecent.” She wasn’t the only one shocked as we had her in third place in the predictions center with 13/2 odds of winning. She was ranked far behind Bartlett Sher for “Oslo” (at 5/6) and Ruben Santiago-Hudson for “August Wilson’s Jitney” (at 5/2).
Immediately after Taichman’s surprise win, we got another one when Christopher Ashley claimed the prize for Best Direction of a Musical for “Come From Away.” Ashley was all the way down in fourth place in our predictions center with 12/1 odd. To win, he overcame the better odds held by Rachel Chavkin for “Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812” (at 4/7), Michael Greif for “Dear Evan Hansen” (at 14/5) and Jerry Zaks for “Hello, Dolly!” (at 12/1).
Sure, Michael Aronov was only in second place to win Best Featured Actor in a Play for “Oslo,” with 12/1 odds of winning. But it really was an upset considering we had Danny DeVito so far out front (with 1/3 odds) for his performance in “The Price” that anyone else winning was bound to be an upset.
The biggest upset came outside of the televised portion of the ceremony in the Best Orchestrations category. Alex Lacamoire’s work on “Dear Evan Hansen” was at the bottom of our predictions center with 10/1 odds of winning. Normally those odds don’t sound that bad but it was below all three of its competitors: Larry Hochman for “Hello, Dolly!” (at 10/11), Dave Malloy for “Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812” (at 9/5) and Bill Elliott and Greg Anthony Rassen for “Bandstand” (at 9/1).