‘Veep’ has leading 1/2 odds to win Best Comedy Series after Creative Arts Emmys success

It wasn’t a clean sweep for “Veep” at Sunday night’s Creative Arts Emmys (check out the complete list of winners here). The show won three of its categories — Best Comedy Casting, Best Cinematography (Single-Camera, Half-Hour), and Best Production Design (Narrative, Half-Hour) — so it wasn’t the biggest winner of the weekend. However, that was the best “Veep” has ever done at the Creative Arts Awards. In fact, the only previous Creative Arts prizes the show ever won were Comedy Casting in 2015 and 2016. So is the show looking even stronger to win Best Comedy Series?

“Veep” has a commanding lead in our racetrack odds. As of this writing it has leading odds of 1/2, which translates to a 67% chance of winning the top prize. That’s based on our latest predictions which combine the picks of Expert TV journalists, Gold Derby’s own Editors, the Top 24 Users who got the high scores in last year’s Emmy predictions, the All-Star Top 24 who scored high in the last two years’ combined Emmy predix, and thousands of total Users who are our largest and often smartest predictions bloc.

The key Creative Arts victory for “Veep” this year, as in the last two years, might be the casting award. In the last two years, the winner of Best Casting has won the top program award every single time. In 2015, “Veep” won Comedy Casting and Comedy Series, “Game of Thrones” won Drama Casting and Drama Series, and “Olive Kitteridge” won Movie/Mini Casting and Best Limited Series. Then in 2016, “Veep” and “Game of Thrones” repeated in both of their respective  categories while “The People v. O.J. Simpson” claimed Movie/Mini Casting and Limited Series.

There was a slight anomaly this year. For the first time the television academy awarded casting directors for reality TV; that award went to “Born This Way,” which lost Best Unstructured Reality Program to “United Shades of America.” But that may not be telling, since “United Shades” isn’t the kind of series that would be considered for a casting award — in fact, it wasn’t even submitted for a nomination.

“Atlanta” remains the closest challenger to “Veep” with 3/1 odds (24% chance of winning) — that’s a one-in-four chance. We didn’t get much insight about the show’s potential at Creative Arts, where its only nomination was Comedy Casting. Its other five bids will be decided this Sunday night, September 17, at the main event, and we’ve seen shows come up short before at Creative Arts only to dominate their above-the-line categories — like “Veep” and “Modern Family,” for instance. So this race isn’t over yet.

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our Emmy odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fierce debate over the 2017 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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