The BAFTAs begin at the Royal Albert Hall in London at 7:00 pm Sunday (Feb. 12). However, the BBC won’t air the show until 9 pm local time. And it won’t go out on BBC America until 5 pm PT/8 pm ET. But we will have the results here at Gold Derby as they unfold, beginning at 11:00 am PT/2:00 pm ET. Throughout the day, be sure to join the live discussion in our message boards. And then check back here after the results are all in for our analysis of what these wins (and losses) mean for the Oscars.
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“La La Land” reaped a leading 11 BAFTA nominations and, according to our official odds, it will prevail in nine of those races thus tying the record set by “Butch Cassidy and Sundance Kid” back in 1970. The Oscar frontrunner is forecast to win Best Picture, Director (Damien Chazelle), Actress (Emma Stone), Cinematography, Costume Design, Film Editing, Production Design, Score and Sound.
The only races it will lose are the two that will be won by “Manchester by the Sea”: Actor (Casey Affleck) and Original Screenplay (Kenneth Lonergan). That domestic drama contends in six races.
BAFTA predictions: ‘La La Land’ will tie record with 9 wins including Best Picture
“Moonlight” is expected to win one of its four bids as Oscar frontrunner Mahershala Ali takes Supporting Actor. Likewise the Oscar favorite for Best Supporting Actress, Viola Davis, is predicted to win the sole nomination for her film “Fences.”
While “Arrival” will prevail in just one of its nine races — Best Adapted Screenplay — that is still better than “Nocturnal Animals,” which we are predicting will be shut-out despite nine bids as well.
And the Brit hit “Florence Foster Jenkins” will go one for four with a win for Best Makeup & Hairstyling.
Join in the fierce debate about the BAFTA contenders
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These predictions are based on a combination of five sets of forecasts at Gold Derby: film Experts, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s BAFTA winners, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ BAFTA results, and hundreds of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
For the 12th year in a row, Stephen Fry host this awardsfest. Presenters for the ceremony and other attendees include: Riz Ahmed, Penelope Cruz, Jamie Dornan, Luke Evans, Holliday Grainger, Bryce Dallas Howard, Isabelle Huppert, Felicity Jones, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Thandie Newton, Simon Pegg,Noomi Rapace, Andrea Riseborough, Mark Rylance, Rafe Spall, Russell Tovey, Sophie Turner and Stanley Tucci.
One highlight of the evening is sure to be Mel Brooks receiving the BAFTA Fellowship. It is this group’s version of a lifetime achievement award, and will be presented by BAFTA patron Prince William.
Predict the BAFTA winners now; change them till February 12
Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 12. And join in the fierce debate over the BAFTAs and Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.
