The American Cinema Editors hand out the Eddie Awards on Friday (Jan. 26). Oscar watchers are sure to be in attendance as they are keenly aware that ACE is aces as one of the best indicators of which film takes home the Best Picture Oscar.
Since 1990, the film that came up with an ACE went on to win the top prize at the Academy Awards 17 times. And in seven of the 10 years when the ACE barometer was wrong, the Eddie champ was at least a contender for Best Picture, including last year when both the drama winner (“Arrival”) and the comedy/musical champ (“La La Land”) were among the eight Best Picture nominees that lost the top Oscar to “Moonlight.”
Six of this year’s nine Oscar nominees for Best Picture — “Dunkirk,” “Get Out,” “Lady Bird,” “The Post,” “he Shape of Water” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — are in contention at these precursor prizes; the cutters of “Call Me by Your Name,” “Darkest Hour” and “Phantom Thread” were snubbed by ACE. (Check out the full list of Eddie Awards nominations.)
“Dunkirk,” which is the Oscar frontrunner for Best Film Editing, contends in drama at the Eddies as does one of its Oscar rivals, “The Shape of Water.” That race is rounded out by “Blade Runner 2049,” “Molly’s Game” and “The Post.” The other three Oscar nominees for Best Film Editing — “Baby Driver,” “I, Tonya,” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — vie for the comedy ACE Award, with “Get Out” and “Lady Bird” also in the running.
Our exclusive odds for the ACE Eddie Awards are derived from the predictions of film Experts, Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s winners, the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years, and thousands of total Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc of predictors.
On the drama side, “Dunkirk” has a commanding lead, with overwhelming odds of 2/11 to win with the guild. Likewise, “Baby Driver” is far out in front in the comedy/musical race with leading odds of 1/10.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.