2018 American Society of Cinematographers Awards: Even if Roger Deakins wins, his first Oscar is not in the bag

Roger Deakins is predicted to win his fourth award from the American Society of Cinematographers on Feb. 17 for his lensing of “Blade Runner 2049.” And he is tipped to finally take home his first Oscar for this film after 13 losses. However, the track record of the guild at previewing the eventual choice of the academy is surprisingly poor.

The ASC winner has gone on to claim an Academy Awards bookend for Best Cinematography only 13 times in 31 years. Last year, “Lion” lenser Grieg Fraser won with the ASC but lost the Oscar race to “La La Land’s” Linus Sandgren.

Yes, for the three years prior, Emmanuel Lubezki won with both groups for his work on “Gravity,” “Birdman” and “The Revenant.” But prior to that historic run, there were only 10 double dippers:

Dean Semler, “Dances with Wolves” (1990)
John Toll, “Braveheart” (1995)
John Seale, “The English Patient” (1996)
Russell Carpenter, “Titanic” (1997)
Conrad L. Hall, “American Beauty” (1999)
Conrad L. Hall, “Road to Perdition” (2002)
Dion Beebe, “Memoirs of a Geisha” (2005)
Robert Elswit, “There Will Be Blood” (2007)
Anthony Dod Mantle, “Slumdog Millionaire” (2008)
Wally Pfister, “Inception” (2010)

PREDICT the ASC Awards now; change them until February 17

Deakins numbers among those 18 ASC champs not able to translate those wins into Academy Awards. He won the American Society of Cinematographers Award for “The Shawkshank Redemption” (1994), “The Man Who Wasn’t There” (2001) and “Skyfall” (2012).

At both the ASC and Academy Awards, Deakins faces off against Bruno Delbonnel (“Darkest Hour”); Dan Laustsen (“The Shape of Water”); Rachel Morrison (“Mudbound), who is the first woman ever nominated for her work on a feature film by the ASC and the Oscars; and Hoyte van Hoytema (“Dunkirk”).

The 32nd annual ASC Awards take place on Feb. 17 at the Ray Dolby Ballroom at Hollywood & Highland and will be emceed by Turner Classic Movies’ Ben Mankiewicz.

Be sure to make your ASC predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name filmmakers can see how their movies are faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 17. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 ASC Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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