2018 BAFTA predictions: Complete racetrack odds in 21 categories presented at British Academy Film Awards

The 2018 BAFTA Awards will be handed out on Sunday night, February 18, two days before the start of Oscar voting. That makes these prizes as consequential as ever as a last opportunity to influence the American academy, or at least to indicate which way the wind is blowing. There is overlap between BAFTA voters and Oscar voters, so are they bound to pick the same winners? Scroll down for our complete predictions in 21 categories listed in order of their racetrack odds, with the projected winners highlighted in gold.

The Shape of Water” leads with 12 nominations, followed by “Darkest Hour” and “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” with 9 apiece at these kudos, which are decided by industry professionals just like the Academy Awards. But they have disagreed with the Oscars on Best Picture for the last three years in a row, picking “Boyhood” over Oscar winner “Birdman” (2014), then “The Revenant” over Oscar winner “Spotlight” (2015) and finally “La La Land” over Oscar winner “Moonlight” (2016). That makes it trickier to forecast these kudos, and to forecast the Oscars that follow, especially since the Oscars choose Best Picture with a complex preferential ballot that advantages consensus over passion.

Nevertheless there are more than 1,700 users currently making their predictions at Gold Derby, including Expert journalists we’ve polled from top media outlets, the Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s BAFTA winners and the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ BAFTA predictions.

Do you agree with the collective wisdom of our users, or do you think you know better? There’s still time to make or update your own predictions right here before prizes are handed out on February 18.

BEST PICTURE
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 8/11
“The Shape of Water” — 3/1
“Dunkirk” — 6/1
“Darkest Hour” — 50/1
“Call Me by Your Name” — 50/1

BEST DIRECTOR
Guillermo Del Toro, “The Shape of Water” — 3/10
Christopher Nolan, “Dunkirk” — 9/2
Martin McDonagh, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 50/1
Luca Guadagnino, “Call Me by Your Name” — 50/1
Denis Villeneuve, “Blade Runner 2049” — 80/1

BEST ACTOR
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour” — 1/10
Timothee Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name” — 22/1
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread” — 40/1
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out” — 66/1
Jamie Bell, “Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool” — 100/1

BEST ACTRESS
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 1/4
Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water” — 6/1
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird” — 25/1
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya” — 66/1
Annette Bening, “Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool” — 100/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 2/13
Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project” — 14/1
Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the world” — 40/1
Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 66/1
Hugh Grant, “Paddington 2” — 66/1

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya” — 1/2
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird” — 10/3
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread” — 14/1
Kristin Scott Thomas, “Darkest Hour” — 66/1
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water” — 80/1

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 2/9
“Lady Bird” — 15/2
“Get Out” — 25/1
“The Shape of Water” — 40/1
“I, Tonya” — 100/1

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“Call Me by Your Name” — 1/10
“The Death of Stalin” — 20/1
“Molly’s Game” — 40/1
“Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool” — 66/1
“Paddington 2” — 80/1

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“Blade Runner 2049” — 8/15
“Dunkirk” — 3/1
“The Shape of Water” — 16/1
“Darkest Hour” — 66/1
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 100/1

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“Phantom Thread” — 2/13
“Beauty and the Beast” — 12/1
“Darkest Hour” — 40/1
“The Shape of Water” — 50/1
“I, Tonya” — 80/1

BEST FILM EDITING
“Dunkirk” — 1/10
“Baby Driver” — 18/1
“Blade Runner 2049” — 33/1
“The Shape of Water” — 50/1
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 80/1

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR
“Darkest Hour” — 1/10
“Blade Runner 2049” — 40/1
“I, Tonya” — 40/1
“Wonder” — 50/1
“Victoria and Abdul” — 80/1

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“The Shape of Water” — 2/9
“Blade Runner 2049” — 13/2
“Dunkirk” – 40/1
“Beauty and the Beast” — 50/1
“Darkest Hour” — 80/1

BEST SCORE
“The Shape of Water” — 2/13
“Dunkirk” — 18/1
“Phantom Thread” — 22/1
“Blade Runner 2049” — 66/1
“Darkest Hour” — 80/1

BEST SOUND
“Dunkirk” — 1/10
“Blade Runner 2049” — 20/1
“Baby Driver” — 33/1
“The Shape of Water” — 66/1
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” — 80/1

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
“War for the Planet of the Apes” — 4/5
“Blade Runner 2049” — 17/10
“The Shape of Water” — 33/1
“Star Wars: The Last Jedi” — 40/1
“Dunkirk” — 66/1

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Coco” — 1/10
“My Life as a Zucchini” — 28/1
“Loving Vincent” — 28/1

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“Jane” — 2/13
“I Am Not Your Negro” — 12/1
“City of Ghosts” — 40/1
“Icarus” — 50/1
“An Inconvenient Sequel” — 80/1

BEST FOREIGN FILM
“Elle” — 2/5
“The Salesman” — 5/1
“Loveless” — 16/1
“The Handmaiden” — 28/1
“First They Killed My Father” — 33/1

BEST BRITISH FILM
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 8/15
“Darkest Hour” — 3/1
“Paddington 2” — 22/1
“God’s Own Country” — 40/1
“Lady Macbeth” — 50/1
“The Death of Stalin” — 80/1

RISING STAR
Timothee Chalamet — 3/10
Daniel Kaluuya — 9/2
Tessa Thompson — 50/1
Florence Pugh — 66/1
Josh O’Connor — 80/1

Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions so that studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 18. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 BAFTAs taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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