2018 BAFTA predictions: ‘Elle’ and ‘The Salesman’ will battle it out for Foreign Film a year after contending for Oscars

Isabelle Huppert earned a Best Actress Oscar nomination for “Elle” last year, but the film didn’t open in the UK until March 2017, so it wasn’t eligible to compete at the BAFTAs until this year. Huppert didn’t make the cut at these kudos for her performance, but her film is up for Best Foreign Film, and according to our latest odds it will win that race.

As of this writing “Elle” leads with odds of 4/9. Those odds are based on the combined forecasts of more than 1,600 users who have made their BAFTA predictions in our predictions center thus far. That includes six Expert journalists we’ve polled from top media outlets, who are unanimous that “Elle” will prevail: Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

“Elle” also has support from six out of eight Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby: Eng, Rob Licuria, Matt Noble, O’Neil, Paul Sheehan and myself. In addition, the film is backed by 11 of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s BAFTA winners, and by 13 of our All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ predictions.

But close behind with 9/2 odds is the Iranian film “The Salesman,” another Oscar contender from last year. But while the American academy snubbed “Elle” for Best Foreign Film, “The Salesman” earned a nomination there and won. Now in the BAFTA race two of our Editors, Chris Beachum and Marcus James Dixon, are predicting “The Salesman” to prevail again, as are 6 of our Top 24 and 6 All-Stars.

Only one of this year’s Oscar contenders for Best Foreign Film is up for BAFTA’s prize: Russia’s “Loveless,” which ranks third with 16/1 odds. It’s forecast to win by 3 of our Top 24 and 2 All-Stars. South Korea’s “The Handmaiden” is next with 28/1 odds and support from 2 of our Top 24. Angelina Jolie‘s Oscar-snubbed “First They Killed My Father,” from Cambodia, rounds out the category with 33/1 odds: 1 of our Top 24 and 1 All-Star are picking it to upset.

Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions so that studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 18. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 BAFTAs taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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