2018 DGA Awards predictions: Complete odds in 7 Directors Guild categories include ‘The Shape of Water,’ ‘Get Out’ …

The 2018 Directors Guild of America Awards will be handed out on Saturday night, February 3, across a number of film and television categories. We’re forecasting seven of those races in our predictions center, where over 1,200 users have entered their picks. that includes Expert journalists we’ve polled from top media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round at Gold Derby, and the top users who have gotten the highest scores predicting past DGA Awards. So who are we betting on? Scroll down for our complete predictions listed in order of their racetrack odds with the projected winners highlighted in gold.

As it stands Guillermo Del Toro (“The Shape of Water”) is the overwhelming favorite to win Best Director for motion pictures. That’s good news for the filmmaker leading into the Oscars since 13 out of the last 14 DGA winners went on to claim Best Director from the motion picture academy. The only exception was Ben Affleck (“Argo,” 2012), who was shockingly not even nominated by the Oscars. Combined with “The Shape of Water’s” win at the Producers Guild Awards, a DGA victory would greatly strengthen the film’s position in the Best Picture race.

Del Toro faces Jordan Peele (“Get Out”) in the Best Director race here and at the Oscars, and though Peele is considered an underdog in that category he is expected to run away with the award for Best First-Time Director. And though his film was snubbed at the Oscars Matthew Heineman is predicted to win Best Documentary Director for the second time in three years for his tense Syria documentary “City of Ghosts.” He previously won for “Cartel Land” (2015).

On the TV side new shows are expected to take down returning DGA favorites. The pilot for “The Handmaid’s Tale” by Reed Morano is ahead of three episodes of “Game of Thrones” for Best Drama Directing even though “Thrones” has won for the last two years in a row. And Amy Sherman-Palladino‘s pilot for “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” is the frontrunner to win Best Comedy Directing even though its rival “Veep” has won twice in a row as well.

Do you agree with our predictions? There’s still time to make or update your own picks right here before Saturday night’s event.


Guillermo Del Toro, “The Shape of Water” — 2/13
Christopher Nolan, “Dunkirk” — 14/1
Greta Gerwig, “Lady Bird” — 25/1
Martin McDonagh, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” — 66/1
Jordan Peele, “Get Out” — 80/1

Jordan Peele, “Get Out” — 1/10
Aaron Sorkin, “Molly’s Game” — 33/1
Taylor Sheridan, “Wind River” — 50/1
Geremy Jasper, “Patti Cake$” — 66/1
William Oldroyd, “Lady Macbeth” — 100/1

Matthew Heineman, “City of Ghosts” — 1/2
Ken Burns and Lynn Novick, “The Vietnam War” — 11/2
Bryan Fogel, “Icarus” — 11/1
Errol Morris, “Wormwood” — 12/1
Steve James, “Abacus: Small Enough to Jail” — 66/1


Reed Morano, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Offred) — 2/7
Matt Shakman, “Game of Thrones” (The Spoils of War) — 6/1
Alan Taylor, “Game of Thrones” (Beyond the Wall) — 22/1
Duffer Brothers, “Stranger Things” (Chapter 9: The Gate) — 50/1
Jeremy Podeswa, “Game of Thrones” (The Dragon and the Wolf) — 66/1

Amy Sherman-Palladino, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Pilot) — 2/3
Melina Matsoukas, “Master of None” (Thanksgiving) — 12/5
Beth McCarthy-Miller, “Veep” (Chicklet) — 18/1
Aziz Ansari, “Master of None” (The Thief) — 22/1
Mike Judge, “Silicon Valley” (Server Error) — 80/1

Jean-Marc Vallee, “Big Little Lies” — 1/10
Scott Frank, “Godless” — 28/1
Barry Levinson, “The Wizard of Lies” — 50/1
George C. Wolfe, “The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks” — 66/1
Kyra Sedgwick, “Story of a Girl” — 100/1

Don Roy King, “Saturday Night Live” (Host: Jimmy Fallon) — 3/10
Paul Pennolino, “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (French Elections) — 11/2
Andre Allen, “Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” (#2061) — 20/1
Jim Hoskinson, “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (Joe Biden/Elton John) — 50/1
Paul G. Casey, “Real Time with Bill Maher” (#1527) — 100/1

Be sure to make your DGA predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name filmmakers can see how their movies are faring in our odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 3. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 DGA Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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