2018 Emmy nominations predictions: Complete racetrack odds in 24 categories

The nominations for the 2018 Primetime Emmys will be announced this Thursday, July 12, so who will make the cut? All spring and summer we’ve been predicting the nominees and winners in 24 top categories from Best Comedy Series to Best Variety Sketch Series. Scroll down to see who we think will earn bids from the television academy. Our forecast nominees are listed in order of their racetrack odds with our projected winners highlighted in gold and possible spoilers who are well positioned for surprise nominations in italics.

Our odds are based on the combined predictions of more than 3,000 Gold Derby users who have entered their picks thus far. Those users include Expert journalists from top media outlets, the Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, the Top 24 Users who had the best predictions for last year’s Emmy nominations, and the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest prediction scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations.

But the biggest predictions bloc by far are the thousands of our everyday Users, one of whom usually wipes the floor with the rest of us when it comes to forecasting the race.

As it stands Best Comedy Series remains a tight race with “Atlanta” having the narrowest of advantages against “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (both have 4/1 odds). “The Handmaid’s Tale” has a slight lead against returning Emmy juggernaut “Game of Thrones” for Best Drama Series. “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” is expected to win Best Limited Series and sweep the acting races too.

And you can expect “Saturday Night Live” to clean up. We’re predicting a repeat win for Best Variety Sketch Series along with seven acting nominations, three of which it’s tipped to win: Best Comedy Supporting Actress (Kate McKinnon for the third year in a row), Best Comedy Guest Actor (Bill Hader for the first time) and Best Comedy Guest Actress (Tina Fey for the third time).

Do you agree with our predictions? Check them out below. And there’s still time to make or update your own picks right here in our predictions center before Thursday’s announcement.

BEST COMEDY SERIES
“Atlanta” — 4/1
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 4/1
“Black-ish” — 11/2
“Silicon Valley” — 9/1
“Curb Your Enthusiasm” — 10/1
“GLOW” — 10/1
“Will and Grace” — 11/1

Spoilers: “Barry” (18/1), “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” (66/1)

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 3/1
Tracee Ellis Ross, “Black-ish” — 9/2
Allison Janney, “Mom” — 9/2
Alison Brie, “GLOW” — 13/2
Lily Tomlin, “Grace and Frankie” — 9/1
Debra Messing, “Will and Grace” — 14/1

Spoilers: Pamela Adlon, “Better Things” (20/1); Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” (66/1)

BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Donald Glover, “Atlanta” — 3/1
Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish” — 4/1
William H. Macy, “Shameless” — 11/2
Bill Hader, “Barry” — 6/1
Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm” — 15/2
Eric McCormack, “Will and Grace” — 11/1

Spoilers: Zach Galifianakis, “Baskets” (22/1); Ted Danson, “The Good Place” (40/1)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Kate McKinnon, “Saturday Night Live” — 3/1
Megan Mullally, “Will and Grace” — 9/2
Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 5/1
Laurie Metcalf, “Roseanne” — 15/2
Rita Moreno, “One Day at a Time” — 9/1
Leslie Jones, “Saturday Night Live” — 10/1

Spoilers: Betty Gilpin, “GLOW” (18/1); Jessica Walter, “Arrested Development” (33/1); Zazie Beetz, “Atlanta” (66/1)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sean Hayes, “Will and Grace” — 7/2
Tituss Burgess, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” — 9/2
Louie Anderson, “Baskets” — 11/2
Brian Tyree Henry, “Atlanta” — 13/2
Alec Baldwin, “Saturday Night Live” — 8/1
Marc Maron, “GLOW” — 10/1

Spoilers: Tony Shalhoub, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (10/1); Henry Winkler, “Barry” (33/1)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Tina Fey, “Saturday Night Live” — 7/2
Tiffany Haddish, “Saturday Night Live” — 4/1
Jane Lynch, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 5/1
Molly Shannon, “Will and Grace” — 7/1
Wanda Sykes, “Black-ish” — 9/1
Blythe Danner, “Will and Grace” — 20/1

Spoilers: Laurie Metcalf, “The Big Bang Theory” (22/1); Christine Baranski, “The Big Bang Theory” (40/1)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Billy Hader, “Saturday Night Live” — 7/2
Donald Glover, “Saturday Night Live” — 4/1
Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Curb Your Enthusiasm” — 11/2
Bryan Cranston, “Curb Your Enthusiasm” — 15/2
Sterling K. Brown, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” — 9/1
Bob Newhart, “The Big Bang Theory” — 12/1

Spoilers: Bobby Cannavale, “Will and Grace” (33/1); Leslie Jordan, “Will and Grace” (40/1)

BEST DRAMA SERIES
“The Handmaid’s Tale” — 7/2
“Game of Thrones” — 4/1
“This is Us” — 11/2
“Stranger Things” — 7/1
“The Crown” — 7/1
“The Americans” — 9/1
“Westworld” — 9/1

Spoiler: “Killing Eve” (50/1)

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 3/1
Claire Foy, “The Crown” — 4/1
Keri Russell, “The Americans” — 9/2
Evan Rachel Wood, “Westworld” — 13/2
Mandy Moore, “This is Us” — 17/2
Sandra Oh, “Killing Eve” — 11/1

Spoilers: Emilia Clarke, “Game of Thrones” (33/1); Laura Linney, “Ozark” (50/1)

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Sterling K. Brown, “This is Us” — 3/1
Milo Ventimiglia, “This is Us” — 4/1
Matthew Rhys, “The Americans” — 9/2
Freddie Highmore, “The Good Doctor” — 8/1
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan” — 10/1
Jeffrey Wright, “Westworld” — 14/1

Spoilers: Jason Bateman, “Ozark” (14/1); Kit Harington, “Game of Thrones” (22/1); J.K. Simmons, “Counterpart” (66/1)

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ann Dowd, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 3/1
Thandie Newton, “Westworld” — 4/1
Chrissy Metz, “This is Us” — 11/2
Lena Headey, “Game of Thrones” — 11/2
Millie Bobby Brown, “Stranger Things” — 7/1
Alexis Bledel, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 17/2

Spoilers: Yvonne Strahovski, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (28/1); Vaness Kirby, “The Crown” (40/1)

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
David Harbour, “Stranger Things” — 10/3
Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones” — 7/2
Justin Hartley, “This is Us” — 11/2
Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland” — 7/1
Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, “Game of Thrones” — 12/1
Noah Schnapp, “Stranger Things” — 16/1

Spoilers: Joseph Fiennes, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (25/1); Anthony Hopkins, “Westworld” (28/1); Noah Emmerich, “The Americans” (33/1); Brendan Fraser, “Trust” (50/1)

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Diana Rigg, “Game of Thrones” — 7/2
Samira Wiley, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 4/1
Cicely Tyson, “How to Get Away with Murder” — 11/2
Marisa Tomei, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 6/1
Cherry Jones, “The Handmaid’s Tale” — 8/1
Margo Martindale, “The Good Fight” — 18/1

Spoilers: Pam Grier, “This is Us” (28/1); Viola Davis, “Scandal” (50/1)

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Gerald McRaney, “This is Us” — 10/3
Ron Cephas Jones, “This is Us” — 9/2
Cameron Britton, “Mindhunter” — 11/2
Matthew Goode, “The Crown” — 13/2
Jimmi Simpson, “Westworld” — 9/1
Alan Alda, “The Good Fight” — 11/1

Spoilers: Michael C. Hall, “The Crown” (33/1); Peter Mullan, “Westworld” (50/1); Beau Bridges, “Homeland” (50/1)

BEST LIMITED SERIES
“The Assassination of Gianni Versace” — 13/8
“Twin Peaks” — 4/1
“Godless” — 11/2
“The Looming Tower” — 6/1
“Howards End” — 11/1

Spoilers: “Top of the Lake: China Girl” (33/1); “Genius: Picasso” (50/1)

BEST TV MOVIE
“USS Callister (Black Mirror)” — 19/10
“The Tale” — 10/3
“Paterno” — 5/1
“Fahrenheit 451” — 6/1
“Flint” — 7/1

Spoiler: “I Am Elizabeth Smart” (100/1)

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
Laura Dern, “The Tale” — 10/3
Jessica Biel, “The Sinner” — 4/1
Elisabeth Moss, “Top of the Lake: China Girl” — 5/1
Michelle Dockery, “Godless” — 6/1
Hayley Atwell, “Howards End” — 17/2
Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Cult” — 11/1

Spoilers: Edie Falco, “The Menendez Murders” (22/1); Cristin Milioti, “USS Callister (Black Mirror)” (66/1)

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
Darren Criss, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” — 10/3
Al Pacino, “Paterno” — 9/2
Kyle MacLachlan, “Twin Peaks” — 5/1
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Patrick Melrose” — 5/1
Michael B. Jordan, “Fahrenheit 451” — 17/2
Antonio Banderas, “Genius: Picasso” — 10/1

Spoiler: Jeff Daniels, “The Looming Tower” (14/1)

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” — 10/3
Laura Dern, “Twin Peaks” — 4/1
Nicole Kidman, “Top of the Lake: China Girl” — 5/1
Angela Lansbury, “Little Women” — 6/1
Judith Light, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” — 13/2
Merritt Wever, “Godless” — 8/1

Spoilers: Ellen Burstyn, “The Tale” (33/1); Naomi Watts, “Twin Peaks” (50/1); Jennifer Jason Leigh, “Patrick Melrose” (50/1)

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTOR
Edgar Ramirez, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” — 10/3
Jeff Daniels, “Godless” — 9/2
Michael Shannon, “Fahrenheit 451” — 5/1
Michael Stuhlbarg, “The Looming Tower” — 6/1
Peter Sarsgard, “The Looming Tower” — 7/1
Bill Camp, “The Looming Tower” — 16/1

Spoilers: Brandon Victor Dixon, “Jesus Christ Superstar” (20/1); Ricky Martin, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” (25/1); Jason Ritter, “The Tale” (40/1); Cody Fern, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” (66/1)

BEST REALITY-COMPETITION PROGRAM
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 10/3
“The Voice” — 4/1
“The Amazing Race” — 5/1
“Project Runway” — 6/1
“Top Chef” — 15/2
“American Ninja Warrior” — 12/1

Spoiler: “Dancing with the Stars” (66/1)

BEST REALITY HOST
RuPaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race” — 10/3
Jane Lynch, “Hollywood Game Night” — 9/2
Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn, “Project Runway” — 11/2
W. Kamau Bell, “United Shades of America” — 15/2
Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan France, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness, “Queer Eye” — 15/2
Alec Baldwin, “Match Game” — 11/1

Spoilers: Ellen DeGeneres, “Ellen’s Game of Games” (28/1); Martha Stewart and Snoop Dogg, “Martha and Snoop’s Potluck Dinner Party” (33/1)

BEST VARIETY TALK SERIES
“Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” — 3/1
“Late Show with Stephen Colbert” — 9/2
“Full Frontal with Samantha Bee” — 5/1
“Jimmy Kimmel Live” — 11/2
“Late Late Show with James Corden” — 7/1
“Late Night with Seth Meyers” — 14/1

Spoiler: “Real Time with Bill Maher” (33/1)

BEST VARIETY SKETCH SERIES
“Saturday Night Live” — 3/1
“Portlandia” — 4/1
“Drunk History” — 5/1
“Tracey Ullman’s Show” — 11/2
“I Love You, America” — 17/2
“At Home with Amy Sedaris” — 10/1

Spoiler: “The President Show” (100/1)

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on July 12. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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