2018 Emmy nominations slugfest: Gold Derby contributors break down reality and variety predictions [WATCH]

Seth Meyers keeps trucking along, trying to get in there; I think it’s got to happen eventually,” Zach Laws says while discussing the Emmy race for Best Variety Talk Series in a nominations slugfest with Riley Chow and Amanda Spears about the top variety and reality categories (watch above).

The three Gold Derby contributors agree that “Late Night with Seth Meyers” will break through this year, although they differ on which of last year’s nominees will get the boot. Chow thinks that “The Late Late Show with James Corden” is done after two nominations; Laws and Spears bet that “Real Time with Bill Maher” will fall out like it did in 2015, having been nominated 12 of the last 13 years. Spears also cautions to “look out maybe for Jimmy Fallon, since he’s taken some hits during voting, so that might be a little bit of a rallying cry.” She concludes, “It doesn’t really matter who the other five [nominees] are because we all know this is going to go to John Oliver again, so way to put on one great half-hour of television a week!”

There is consensus that all six of last year’s Best Reality-Competition Program nominees will return, although the days might be numbered for “Project Runway,” which has been nominated every year that it has been on the air, earning 13 nominations for executive producer Harvey Weinstein. Spears explains, “The Harvey Weinstein of it all might knock ‘Project Runway’ out of there because I think that — and it’s not their fault — but we might see a lot of shows affected by association with people who have been assholes.”

Saturday Night Live” was the clear favorite among the nominees for Best Variety Sketch Series last year, but “Portlandia” has the potential to emerge as a strong challenger this year for its final season. Chow explains, “‘Portlandia’ peaked maybe five years ago, back when it was getting into Writing, getting into Directing, getting acting nominations for Steve Buscemi or Fred Armisen, whereas they’ve kind of just been getting into [Best Variety Talk Series] and maybe Production Design for the last few years, so we’ll have to watch in the nominations to see if they can get those double Directing nominations that I’m predicting; can they get Kyle MacLachlan into Guest Actor finally for playing the mayor? That kind of thing — otherwise, ‘SNL’ is a very safe bet.”

00:15 — Best Reality-Competition Program
05:15 — Best Reality Host
09:45 — Best Variety Talk Series
16:20 — Best Variety Sketch Series

Make your Emmy predictions, so that Hollywood insiders can see how their shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on July 12. And join in the fun debate taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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