2018 Emmy predictions slugfest: ‘Versace’ stars Penelope Cruz and Judith Light need to watch out for Merritt Wever (‘Godless’) [WATCH]

“If they’re paying attention at all, then this should be a slam dunk for Judith Light,” proclaims Gold Derby contributor Tony Ruiz about the Emmy race for Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actress. “On [her episode submission ‘A Random Killing’] alone, she would win.” Ruiz recently joined fellow contributors Charles Bright, Riley Chow, Amanda Spears and me to discuss the category. Could it be more competitive than Ruiz thinks? Watch our entire slugfest above.

SEE 2018 Emmy predictions slugfest: Holy war between ‘Godless’ and godly (‘Jesus Christ Superstar’) nominees for Movie/Mini Directing? [WATCH]

Light contends for her appearance in “The Assassination of Gianni Versace,” the second season of FX’s anthology series “American Crime Story.” She competes against her co-star Penelope Cruz, as well as Sara Bareilles (“Jesus Christ Superstar“), Adina Porter (“American Horror Story: Cult”), Merritt Wever (“Godless”), and Letitia Wright (“Black Mirror”).

Currently our racetrack odds give Oscar winner Cruz the advantage with first-place odds of 10/11. Light, a three-time Primetime Emmy nominee and two-time Tony winner, is close behind in second with 11/4 odds. But Spears believes we should watch out for third-ranked contender Wever, who famously upset in the Comedy Supporting Actress category for “Nurse Jackie” in 2013. “She’s such a scene-stealer,” Spears explains. “It really proves she’s a star because you miss her when she’s gone.”

SEE 2018 Emmy predictions slugfest: Could Michelle Dockery upset Laura Dern for Best Movie/Mini Actress? [WATCH]

Bright is siding with Ruiz and predicting Light to upset. While he believes Cruz “does a very good job of capturing” fashion designer Donatella Versace, “there’s no dynamite scene for her.” Light, on the other hand, “has that, and she just seizes every single moment she has on there.”

Chow thinks vote-splitting could hurt Cruz and Light’s chances, swinging the prize to Wever. As a rabble-rousing feminist standing up to the patriarchy in the Old West, Wever plays “the quintessential ‘Godless’ character,” says Chow. “If people like ‘Godless,’ and they like its original contributions to television, she’s really the embodiment of that.”

Make your Emmy predictions, so that Hollywood insiders can see how their shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before the ceremony on September 17. And join in the fun debate taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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