2018: Emmy predictions slugfest: Can ‘RuPaul’ beat ‘The Voice’ AND ‘United Shades of America’ in reality races [WATCH]

“They love to rubber stamp in this category, and ‘The Voice’ is on a major network [NBC]. This would be a very big award for VH1 to win, and they’re not Emmy favorites,” I point out to fellow Gold Derby contributors Zach Laws and Riley Chow during our recent slugfest (watch above) about all things reality at the Emmys. In the race for Best Reality Competition Program, NBC’s defending champion “The Voice” is trailing VH1’s “RuPaul’s Drag Race” in our racetrack odds. But can “Drag Race” really unseat the singing competition?

“The Voice” is the reigning three-time champion (2015-2017). As Chow points out, “‘The Voice‘ picked up its first nominations for editing and directing, and it has its most nominations ever … So I think the safe money still might be on ‘The Voice.'” And I add that the David vs. Goliath battle between the two networks might just favor Goliath in such a tight race. NBC would undoubtedly “want to win a big award on the night … They might be able to push this one more year.”

Currently “Drag Race” has a significant lead with odds of 4/9, and Laws notes that audiences have a strong “emotional attachment” to the series, which “means a lot to the LGBTQ community.” But “The Voice” is singing down its neck, ranked second with odds of 7/2.

When the conversation turned to Best Structured Reality we looked most closely at the reigning four-time victor “Shark Tank” (2014-2017) and Netflix’s revival of “Queer Eye,” a new version of the original “Queer Eye for the Straight Guy” series that won Best Reality Program in 2004. “The buzz around the show is pretty high, and I think it has broadened its viewership a lot just by being on Netflix,” Laws says.

But Chow makes the case for another potential spoiler: “‘Lip Sync Battle’ is also in the top three because it keeps getting Producers Guild Nominations,” he explains. Nevertheless, “Queer Eye” has a substantial lead with odds of 1/4. “Shark Tank” is nipping at their heels in second with odds of 6/1. And “Lip Sync Battle” trails in fourth place with odds of 50/1.

We also considered Best Unstructured Reality Program, where last year’s winner “United Shades of America” looks to once again hold off the 2016 champ “Born This Way.” “It’s even more relevant now.” I explain about the timely racial themes of “United Shades.” Laws thinks this race could be tied closely to Best Reality Host: “If W. Kamau Bell wins Host that might show added support for ‘United Shades.'” Currently “United Shades” has a comfortable lead in our predictions with odds of 2/5 with “Born This Way” a close second with odds of 6/1. And “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” is not to be counted out here either; it’s in third with 17/2 odds.

PREDICT the Emmy winners now; change them until September 17

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before winners are announced on September 17. Be sure to also predict winners for the Creative Arts ceremonies slated for September 8 and 9. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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