Could Timothee Chalamet pull off an upset at the Golden Globes by winning Best Film Drama Actor for “Call Me by Your Name”? Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”) has been the presumptive Oscar-season frontrunner since before his film was even released in November, but there are signs that he may be vulnerable. That makes this contest somewhat reminiscent of last year’s race for Best Film Drama Actress where Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”) upset Natalie Portman (“Jackie”) for the win.
Portman seemed like a strong awards contender last year because she transformed herself into a famous political figure, First Lady Jackie Kennedy. But throughout the awards season her film wasn’t being recognized for much else besides her; her Globe nomination was the only recognition for the film at those awards. Similarly, Oldman transformed himself to play Winston Churchill in “Darkest Hour,” but awards groups haven’t show much love to the film as a whole thus far, and now he too is his film’s only Globe nominee. He also might be disadvantaged by his past criticisms of the Golden Globes as “meaningless.”
Last year Isabelle Huppert capitalized. She was a critical darling with international appeal, and so is Chalamet. He’s not a European actor like Huppert — he’s a native New Yorker — but he has French heritage and his film is Euro-centric. “Call Me” takes place in Italy, is helmed by Italian filmmaker Luca Guadagnino, and Chalamet speaks Italian and French in the film as well as English in his role as lovelorn teenager Elio. Also likely to work in Chalamet’s favor is that he and Tom Hanks (“The Post”) are the only nominees in this category whose films are also up for Best Film Drama, which demonstrates stronger support for his film overall.
As of this writing Oldman maintains a strong lead in our Globe predictions with 4/11 odds, but one of the Expert film journalists we’ve polled, Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), thinks Chalamet will upset. So do two of the Editors who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, Rob Licuria and myself. But support is strongest among our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores forecasting last year’s Globes: six of them expect Chalamet to prevail.
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.