Golden Globes 2018: Will ‘Call Me by Your Name’ be the latest LGBT winner for Best Film?

Call Me by Your Name” seemed to under-perform in the Golden Globe nominations. It earned an impressive three bids: Best Film Drama, Best Film Drama Actor (Timothee Chalamet), and Best Film Supporting Actor (Armie Hammer). But it missed expected nominations for writing, directing, songwriting, and for another supporting actor, Michael Stuhlbarg. So can it still win the top prize? A few of our top users think so, and it would continue a strong history of LGBT-centered winners.

The Golden Globes have awarded other films with strong LGBT themes, including “The Hours” (2002), which explored sexuality and identity across multiple generations of women; “Brokeback Mountain” (2005), the groundbreaking romance between two male sheepherders in Wyoming; and “Moonlight” (2016), about a young gay man coming of age in Miami. And those are just the dramas. Comedies with LGBT characters or relationships have also prevailed, including “As Good as It Gets” (1997), “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” (2008), and “The Kids Are All Right” (2010).

So are the Globes uniquely welcoming to gay, lesbian, and bisexual stories? Perhaps — there have also been LGBT-friendly Globe nominees in top categories that were snubbed for Best Picture at the Oscars, like “The Adventures of Priscilla, Queen of the Desert” (1994), “The Birdcage” (1996), “Gods and Monsters” (1998), “The Talented Mr. Ripley” (1999), “Mulholland Drive” (2001), “Kinsey” (2004), “Pride” (2014), and “Carol” (2015). Of course, it helps that the Globes have separate Best Film categories for dramas and comedies/musicals, giving them more space to honor a wide variety of films; the Oscars only expanded their Best Picture lineup beyond five nominees in 2009.

Still, it does suggest that the door might be especially open to a same-sex romance like “Call Me by Your Name” with Globe voters, despite its shortfall in total nominations. And it currently has support from two of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Globe winners: Matheus Abbade and Yolanda Paladino. Both scored 85.71% accuracy last year, tied as the sixth highest predictions accuracy out of more than 2,500 total users. The film is also backed by one of our All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ Globe predictions: Steven Lee Florak. Maybe they’re onto something.

But “Call Me” nevertheless has to overcome fifth place odds of 20/1. The nominations leader this year was “The Shape of Water” with seven bids, and it’s the current favorite with 8/5 odds. Do you think we’re in for an upset?

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on January 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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