2018 Golden Globes: Will these awards predict winners of the Oscars eight weeks later?

The Golden Globes, now in its 75th year, offers one of the best previews of what will win at the Academy Awards. These precursor prizes, bestowed by the Hollywood Foreign Press Assn., will be handed out on Sunday (Jan. 7), two days after Oscar nominations voting began. That balloting continues until Jan. 13 with Oscar nominations announced on Jan. 23. Final voting runs for seven days, from Feb. 20 to Feb. 27 and the winners of the 90th annual Academy Awards will be revealed on March 4.

With separate awards for drama and comedy/musical films, the Globes doubles its chances of getting Best Picture right at the Oscars as it did last year when its drama pick, “Moonlight,” edged out its comedy/musical choice “La La Land.” And three of the six Globe winners for acting went on to collect Oscars.

SEE ‘The Shape of Water’ leads 2018 Golden Globe nominations with 7, followed by ‘The Post’ & ‘Three Billboards’ with 6

Casey Affleck won the Globe on the drama side for his leading role in “Manchester by the Sea” while Emma Stone did likewise in comedy/musical for “La La Land.” They both won Oscars as did Globes supporting actress winner Viola Davis (“Fences”). Among those Affleck and Stone edged out at the Oscars were Globe winners Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”) and Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”). The Globe winner for Best Supporting Actor — Aaron Taylor-Johnson (“Nocturnal Animals”) — over, among others, eventual Oscar winner Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”). Taylor-Johnson was snubbed by the academy.

In 2015, both groups awarded Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Revenant”) and Brie Larson (“Room”) for their leading performances (the pair won in drama at the Globes). However, while all of the other Globe champs — “The Revenant” and “The Martian” for best drama and comedy/musical respectively, Matt Damon (“The Martian”) and Jennifer Lawrence (“Joy”) for comedy leads, and Sylvester Stallone (“Creed”) and Kate Winslet (“Steve Jobs”) for supporting — contended at the Oscars a few weeks later, none of them prevailed there.

SEE Golden Globes 2018: Full list of nominations led by ‘The Shape of Water,’ ‘Big Little Lies’

In 2014, HFPA voters went with “The Grand Budapest Hotel” over eventual Oscar champ “Birdman” for Best Comedy/Musical while on the drama side the Globe went to “Boyhood.” All four of the individual Oscar winners for acting — leads Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) and Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) as well as supporting players J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash”), and Patricia Arquette (“Boyhood”) — picked up prizes from the HFPA first.

In 2013, “12 Years a Slave” won Best Drama over, among others, its closest Oscar rival “Gravity” and went on to claim the Best Picture award as well. Likewise in 2012 when “Argo” won here first over, among others, “Life of Pi,” before prevailing at the Academy Awards.

PREDICT the Golden Globe winners now; change them until January 7

Jump into the Golden Globes predictions center and let us know your choices today. You’ll be competing against thousands of others, including top experts who cover the entertainment industry throughout the year plus our own Gold Derby editors. Hollywood insiders are desperate to see how their movies, shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on Jan. 8. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with latest predictions

More News from GoldDerby

Loading