2018 Oscars Best Director race: Which DGA Awards nominee is most likely to be snubbed by Academy Awards?

The DGA Awards nominees for Best Director are: Guillermo del Toro (“The Shape of Water”), Greta Gerwig (“Lady Bird”), Martin McDonagh (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”) and Jordan Peele (“Get Out”). There are usually one or two differences between the slate selected by the 16,000 plus members of the DGA, which includes helmers of TV fares and commercials, and the choices of the 512 members of the directors branch of the academy.

Which of the five DGA contenders do you think is the most likely to not hear their name when Oscar nominations are announced on Jan. 23? Vote in our poll at the bottom of this post.

In its first 15 years, there were anywhere from four to 18 DGA nominees. From 1963 – 1965, it went with five before going to 10 for the rest of the decade. Beginning in 1970 it enshrined the number of nominees as five. Since then, there have only been five years when it previewed the exact lineup of Oscar contenders; the most recent of these was in 2009 when Kathryn Bigelow (“The Hurt Locker”) won both awards.

However, from the time that the guild aligned itself with the academy calendar in 1950, all but seven of its winners for Best Director have repeated at the Oscars. The DGA winner will be revealed on Feb. 3 (i.e., 17 days before final Oscar voting starts). Last year, Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) took home both prizes. At the DGA he faced off against three of his Oscar rivals — Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”), Kenneth Longergan (“Manchester by the Sea”) and Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”) — as well as Garth Davis (“Lion”). The latter was bumped out of the Oscars by Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”).

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Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.

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