We polled 30 journalists who cover Hollywood for their predictions of the outcome in all 24 races at the 2018 Oscars. Our experts overwhelmingly favor “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” for Best Picture with “The Shape of Water” in second place and “Get Out” poised for a possible upset. Our official racetrack odds have “Three Billboards,” which has seven nominations, also winning Best Actress (Frances McDormand) and Best Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell). Click through the photo gallery above to see the predicted winners in every category at the 90th Academy Awards.
While “The Shape of Water” will lose Best Picture, this fantasy film is tipped to take home three other Oscars from its 13 bids: Best Director (Guillermo Del Toro), Best Original Score and Best Production Design. And the WWII epic “Dunkirk” will go three for eight, winning Best Film Editing, Best Sound Mixing and Best Sound Editing.
Two of the other Best Picture contenders, “Darkest Hour” and “Phantom Thread” reaped six nominations apiece. The former is expected to win for the leading performance by Gary Oldman and for the makeup and hairstyling team that transformed him into Winston Churchill. The latter, about a 1950s fashion designer, is tipped to take Best Costume Design.
Two other Best Picture nominees, which are up for four prizes each, will both win a single Oscar. The horror satire “Get Out” will win Best Original for first-time filmmaker Jordan Peele. And veteran director James Ivory will make Oscar history as the oldest winner for his adapted screenplay for “Call Me By Your Name.”
The other two Best Picture nominees, “Lady Bird” and “The Post,” will be shut out losing their five and two races respectively.
Last year, three of the nine nominees were shut out of the winners circle: “Lion,” which had six bids; four-time contender “Hell or High Water”; and three-time nominee “Hidden Figures.” In 2016, six of the eight Best Picture contenders (75%) took home Oscars (“Brooklyn” and “The Martian” were snubbed). And in 2015 the entire Best Picture roster of eight won at least one Academy Award.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.