Ray Richmond predicts those rascally Golden Globe TV nominations

It would be wrong to dismiss the Golden Globes TV races as the poor man’s Emmys. Think of them instead as a race to honor the newest and shiniest in the primetime pantheon – eight months before the Emmys have a chance to get their grimy paws on them. It’s the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s opportunity to hail breakthrough hipster TV.

I tend to agree with many of the early predictions by Gold Derby Users and Editors that golden oldies like Julia Roberts (“Homecoming”) and Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”) will be in the mix come Dec. 6, when the noms are announced. We know how much those HFPA voters love their superstars. Especially superstars perceived to be making comebacks. Particularly if those comebacking superstars happen to also be Oscar winners. (See the odds in all 11 TV races at the Golden Globes.)

It’s as close to a slam dunk as we are ever likely to get during awards season.

So, with five weeks to go, I am hereby boldly dipping my toe into the Globes waters to measure the nomination temperature – naturally subject to change.

SEE Gold Derby readers nearly unanimous that Ricky Gervais should host 2019 Golden Globes after 3-year break [POLL RESULTS]

Here goes:

DRAMA SERIES
“Killing Eve” (BBC America)
“The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
“The Americans” (FX)
“Homecoming” *(Amazon)
“Pose” (FX)

With “Game of Thrones,” “Stranger Things” and “The Crown” not in the running this year, the category opens up to lots of new blood – including some old blood in “The Americans,” a favorite to finally generate a nomination in its sixth and final season. But all could have trouble beating “Killing Eve.”

TV DRAMA ACTOR
Matthew Rhys, “The Americans” (FX)
Kevin Costner, “Yellowstone” (Paramount)
Sterling K. Brown, “This Is Us” (NBC)
Milo Ventimiglia, “This Is Us” (NBC)
John Krasinski, “Jack Ryan” (Amazon)

Brown will try for a repeat of last year’s win. But he’ll likely need to knock off his castmate Ventimiglia and a tour de force from one-time nominee (and 2018 Emmy winner) Rhys. And Costner (a five-time Globe nominee and two-time winner) brings his star power to bear for his work in the sprawling soap “Yellowstone.”

TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Sandra Oh, “Killing Eve” (BBC America)
Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Julia Roberts, “Homecoming” (Amazon)
Jodie Comer, “Killing Eve” (BBC America)
Robin Wright, “House of Cards” (Netflix)

Moss, last year’s victor in the category, figures to face four brand new competitors here, including eight-time Globe nominee and two-time winner Roberts. Oh also gives the performance of her life in “Killing Eve.” The trump card here is Wright, who could generate support for keeping the snakebit “House of Cards” aloft in its final season.

PREDICT the Golden Globe TV nominations now; change them until Dec. 6

COMEDY SERIES
“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon)
“Barry,” (HBO)
“Atlanta” (FX)
“The Good Place” (NBC)
“GLOW” (Netflix)

After taking home the top comedy Globe and Emmy in 2018, the second-year Amazon sensation “Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” will likely be the only repeat nominee here, facing 2017 champ “Atlanta” as well as stiff competition from HBO’s seriocomic rookie “Barry” and the NBC afterlife comedy “The Good Place.”

TV COMEDY ACTOR
Bill Hader, “Barry” (HBO)
Donald Glover, “Atlanta” (FX)
Jim Carrey, “Kidding” (Showtime)
Ted Danson, “The Good Place” (NBC)
Michael Douglas, “The Kominsky Method” (Netflix)

This stands to be a hugely competitive category this time around, what with previous winner Glover (2017) and this year’s Emmy champion Hader potentially facing off against a trio of stars in Danson (11 Globe noms, 3 wins), Douglas (9 noms, 3 wins) and Carrey (six noms, 2 wins).

TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Rachel Brosnahan, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon)
Alison Brie, “GLOW” (Netflix)
Maya Rudolph, “Forever” (Amazon)
Jennifer Garner, “Camping” (HBO)
Issa Rae, “Insecure” (HBO)

Brosnahan burst on the scene and began her meteoric rise to the top a year ago, taking a bullet train that earned her victories at the Globes, Emmys, Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards and Gold Derby Awards in 2018. She stands to face repeat nominees Brie and Rae along with Garner (a winner for “Alias” in 2002) and “SNL” vet alumnus Rudolph in Amazon’s “Forever.”

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TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
“The Assassination of Gianni Versace” (FX)
“Sharp Objects” (HBO)
“Maniac” (Netflix)
“A Very English Scandal” (Amazon)
“Escape at Dannemora” (Showtime)

After taking home the Emmy this year, “Ryan Murphy’s “Assassination of Gianni Versace” will have it tougher at the Golden Globes with such buzzworthy would-be nominees as the eight-episode mystery “Sharp Objects,” the British import “A Very English Scandal” and the dark Cary Joji Fukanaga mini “Maniac.” However, as we’ve often learned, critical buzz does not always equal Globes attention.

TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES ACTOR
Darren Criss, “The Assassination of Giannni Versace” (FX)
Hugh Grant, “A Very English Scandal” (Amazon)
Benicio Del Toro, “Escape at Dannemora” (Showtime)
Jonah Hill, “Maniac” (Netflix)
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Patrick Melrose” (Showtime)

His spectacular work as Andrew Cunanan in “Gianni Versace” earned Criss an Emmy statuette, and he’s an overwhelming choice to be on the nominee list. But he will likely be facing some major dudes in four-time nominee (and one-time winner) Grant, Oscar and Globe victor Del Toro, Cumberbatch and Hill (both twice-nominated for Globes).

TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES ACTRESS
Amy Adams, “Sharp Objects” (HBO)
Emma Stone, “Maniac” (Netflix)
Laura Dern, “The Tale” (HBO)
Patricia Arquette, “Escape at Dannemora” (Showtime)
Regina King, “Seven Seconds” (Netflix)

Adams has been nominated for five Academy Awards (winning none) and seven Globes (winning two), and she’s certain to earn another for “Objects.” So will Oscar and Globe champ Stone (2017 for “La-La Land”), Dern (winner of a whopping five Globes), Arquette (who took home an Oscar and Globe in 2015 for “Boyhood”) and King (who won the Emmy in the category this year).

TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Edgar Ramirez, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” (FX)
Henry Winkler, “Barry” (HBO)
Ben Whishaw, “A Very British Scandal” (Amazon)
Joseph Fiennes, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Tony Shalhoub, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon)

Should Winkler get nominated for his uproarious work in “Barry” and win – a distinct possibility since he already snatched up the Emmy – it would mark a gap of a mere 40 years between Globe wins – his last being for “Happy Days” in 1978. He figures to have plenty of opposition, including Ramirez (as Gianni Versace himself) and five-time nominee Shalhoub.

TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Clarkson, “Sharp Objects” (HBO)
Thandie Newton, “Westworld” (HBO)
Penelope Cruz, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” (FX)
Alex Borstein, “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Amazon)
Yvonne Strahovski, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)

This category holds the tantalizing possibility of pitting 2018 Emmy winners opposite one another in Newton and Borstein. Among the likely fellow nominees is an Oscar winner (Cruz) and nominee (Clarkson). No one ever said it was going to be easy.

Be sure to check out how our experts rank this year’s Golden Globe contenders. Then take a look at the most up-to-date combined odds before you make your own 2019 Golden Globe predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Dec. 6.

 

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