“A Star Is Born,” along with “Bohemian Rhapsody,” threw a curveball into awards season by entering in drama at the Golden Globes instead of comedy/musical. Assuming the Hollywood Foreign Press Association approves the submission, it’s a risky play that could pay off, especially for Lady Gaga.
At first blush it might seem dumb to give up guaranteed wins on the comedy/musical side to go drama, but it’s all about optics. A victory in drama feels more “prestigious,” like it beat the big dogs instead of slumming it in comedy/musical, even though, ironically, comedy/musical is very competitive this year. The thing is, “A Star Is Born” will likely win Best Drama Picture and Best Drama Actor for Bradley Cooper in either genre, given the HFPA’s affection for musicals. Voters will also want to award the actor-director somewhere, and Best Drama Actor is relatively weak.
But this is all about Gaga and Best Drama Actress. Gaga would be a slam dunk in comedy/musical, but that would leave Best Drama Actress open to be won by Glenn Close (“The Wife”), the presumptive Oscar favorite and six-time Oscar nominee. If Gaga can pull off a win over Close at the Globes, she could “control” the storyline, gain momentum and shift into the frontrunner position for Best Actress. There would be tons photos of Gaga holding a Globe, and none of Close, as opposed shots of each of them holding one if “A Star Is Born” went in comedy/musical. Headlines will read, “Close but No Globe — Lady Gaga Beats Glenn: Is Oscar Next?” You get the idea.
There is the possibility that the Globes will cover its bases and just give Gaga her Globe in Best Original Song so it could award Close as well. But the HFPA loves its stars and musicals and Gaga — #neverforget she already has a Globe for “American Horror Story: Hotel” — so “A Star Is Born” looks poised to dominate.
Of course, this could all backfire, like when “True Detective” tried to flex in drama instead of limited series at the Emmys and Matthew McConaughey fell to Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad”).
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on December 6. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.