For Gold Derby’s editors who cover awards year-round, the Oscar race for Best Original Screenplay is one of the toughest categories in recent memory. In fact, our eight staff editors are so unsure of what will happen on March 4 that we’re split three different ways … and we all think we’re right! Which editor do YOU agree with, or are we all wrong? Make or update your Oscar predictions right now and then sound off with your choice down in the comments section.
“Get Out” is the prediction of Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery and Paul Sheehan. Written by Jordan Peele, who also directed the horror satire, “Get Out” stars Daniel Kaluuya as a black man who gets more than he bargained for when he meets his white girlfriend’s family. This film has already won screenplay honors at Critics’ Choice, Los Angeles Film Critics Association and New York Film Critics Circle, but this weekend it nabbed the big prize at the Writers Guild Awards. The only major ceremony in which “Get Out” didn’t prevail was at the Golden Globes, when “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” proved victorious — more on that below.
“Lady Bird” is the choice of Chris Beachum, Matt Noble and Joyce Eng. Writer/director Greta Gerwig tells a coming-of-age story about rebellious teen Christine “Lady Bird” McPherson (Saoirse Ronan) and her troubles with her mother (Laurie Metcalf). Due to the success of “Get Out” in the original screenplay race, “Lady Bird” hasn’t won a major televised writing prize yet, though it did take home top honors with several film critics organizations. Will Gerwig be the first woman in 10 years to win the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay?
“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri” is the pick of Marcus James Dixon and Tom O’Neil. Martin McDonagh wrote and directed this small-town dramedy about a woman (Frances McDormand) who publicly shames the police department for not solving her daughter’s rape and murder. “Three Billboards” won the screenplay trophy at the 2018 Golden Globes in a tough category that combines both original and adapted scripts. Since “Three Billboards” wasn’t eligible at the WGA Awards, there’s no way to know whether it would have beaten “Get Out” this weekend.
The other two nominees for Best Original Screenplay are “The Big Sick,” written by Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani, and “The Shape of Water,” written by Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor. See Oscar odds and rankings for all 24 categories.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.