Best Original Screenplay Oscar predictions: ‘Get Out’ is experts’ pick, but ‘Lady Bird’ is choice of editors

A fierce battle is brewing in the race for Best Original Screenplay, according to Gold Derby’s exclusive Oscar predictions. While Jordan Peele‘s “Get Out” is the pick of our experts from major media outlets, Greta Gerwig‘s “Lady Bird” is the choice of our website editors who cover awards year-round. Do you think the race is down to these two, or could another contender squeak out an Oscar victory in the original screenplay race?

Don’t forget, Martin McDonagh‘s “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” script just took home the Golden Globe, so this small-town mystery drama is now a major player heading into the Oscars. Notably, “Get Out” and “Lady Bird” were both snubbed by the Globes. Other top Oscar candidates include Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor‘s “The Shape of Water,” Liz Hannah and Josh Singer‘s “The Post,” and Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani‘s “The Big Sick.”

Of our 28 Oscar experts, 13 think that Peele’s horror satire will prevail: Andrea Mandell (USA Today), Christopher Rosen (Ent. Weekly), Susan Wloszczyna (, Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Grae Drake (Rotten Tomatoes), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Jack Mathews (Gold Derby), Brian Truitt (USA Today), Erik Davis (Fandango), Tim Gray (Variety), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Matthew Jacobs (HuffPo) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). Meanwhile, nine experts back “Lady Bird,” five choose “Three Billboards,” and one lone wolf opts for “The Post.”

As for our eight editors, the majority of us predict that Gerwig’s coming-of-age dramedy will win: Chris Beachum, Marcus James Dixon, Joyce Eng, Rob Licuria and Daniel Montgomery. Two other editors predict “Get Out,” while one is banking on “Three Billboards.”

Muddying the waters even further, 13 of our top users who did the best at predicting last year’s Oscar nominations now forecast that “Three Billboards” will win. The others are split evenly, with five voting for “Lady Bird” and five for “Get Out.”

Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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