On Jan. 4, the Art Directors Guild announced the nominees for their 22nd annual awards. These kudos have a stellar record at previewing the Academy Awards. Over the first 21 years of these prizes, the eventual Oscar winner for Best Production Design has always numbered among the ADG nominees in the various categories.
According to our predictions, period film ADG contender “The Shape of Water” is locked in a tight race with fantasy film ADG nominee “Blade Runner 2049” in the Oscar race for Best Production Design. Two other period film ADG nominees that are set in WWII — “Darkest Hour” and “Dunkirk” — sit in third and fourth place respectively — while fantasy ADG contender “Beauty and the Beast” rounds out our top five predicted Oscar nominees.
Our official Oscar odds are derived from the predictions of Expert film journalists, the Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, the Top 24 Users who got the top scores predicting last year’s Oscar nominations, the All-Star Top 24 who got the top scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations and the thousands of Users who make up the largest (and often savviest) bloc.
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“The Shape of Water” – 2/1
“Blade Runner 2049” – 3/1
“Dunkirk” – 6/1
“Darkest Hour” – 17/2
“Beauty and the Beast” – 10/1
Sixty percent of the experts favor “The Shape of Water” for the win with 15 out of 25 backing its bid. Likewise for all but one of the eight editors, 18 of the Top 24 and 15 All-Stars. Nine of our pro pundits are predicting an upset by “Blade Runner 2049” as is one of our editors, and five of both the two dozen users who did the best last year and those who were tops for two years running. The original “Blade Runner” lost its bid in this Oscar race to “Gandhi” back in 1983.
Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.