Just like in Best Drama Series, two of last year’s Emmy nominees for Best Comedy Series – three-time reigning champ “Veep” and “Master of None” — are out this year and the other five – “Atlanta,” “Black-ish,” “Modern Family,” “Silicon Valley” and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” — are all eligible to return. But which of the five is most likely not to get nominated?
The obvious answer is “Modern Family.” People have been waiting for it to fall out for a while – no offense to the five-time champ – and many thought it would happen last year, but it clung on. “Modern Family” is in 11th place in our odds, but if it manages to stick around, it’d tie “All in the Family” with nine Best Comedy Series nominations. Only “Cheers” and “M*A*S*H” have more, each with 11.
On the other hand, “Atlanta” is the favorite to win. Season 2 was even better well received than Season 1, which took home two big wins in acting and directing for star and creator Donald Glover. Glover is also expected to defend his acting crown.
“Black-ish” is seeking its third straight nomination in the category. If it gets in and “Modern Family” doesn’t, ABC can still have a presence in the lineup. The series is in third place in our odds, behind No. 2 newbie “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.”
“Silicon Valley,” which is in fourth place, has been nominated for its four seasons so far, but it has a curious Emmy history. It gets nominations for the big one and writing and directing, but has had trouble getting traction in acting, nabbing only one nomination for Thomas Middleditch. It feels like one of those placeholder nominees that never has a chance of winning. HBO also has an acclaimed new comedy, “Barry,” that could take its spot.
“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” has also been shortlisted for every season so far, but a fourth straight nomination looks less likely, as it’s sitting in ninth place. Because of its delayed production schedule, “Kimmy Schmidt” only released the first six episodes of its fourth and final season in order to be eligible. Could it be too little too late?
One or more of these stalwarts could fall out and ironically, they could be replaced by other familiar faces: 2000 champ “Will & Grace” and former nominee “Curb Your Enthusiasm” are predicted to be nominated, along with freshman series GLOW.”
Which of last year’s Best Comedy Series nominees is most likely to on the outside looking in this year?
And now we move from film to television awards! Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on July 12. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.