Darren Criss won the Emmy for Best Movie/Mini Actor for playing Andrew Cunanan, the real-life killer who took the life of the title fashion designer in “The Assassination of Gianni Versace.” He’s the front-runner to win at the Golden Globes as well, but this time he’s got stiff competition from another real-life killer — or at least an attempted killer. Hugh Grant is breathing down his neck for his starring role in “A Very English Scandal.”
Over 1,000 Gold Derby users are currently predicting the Golden Globe nominations for TV, and when you combine all their forecasts Criss is ahead with leading odds of 10/3. That includes a landslide of support from 20 of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Globe noms, and 23 of our All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ Globe predictions. And the Globes often like to jump on a bandwagon, as they did last year by awarding “Big Little Lies” four times after its Emmy windfall.
But at other times the Globes prefer to chart their own course. In fact, the Globes and Emmys have disagreed on Best Movie/Mini Actor for the last four years: Billy Bob Thornton (“Fargo,” 2015), Oscar Isaac (“Show Me a Hero,” 2016), Tom Hiddleston (“The Night Manager,” 2017) and Ewan McGregor (“Fargo,” 2018) all won Globes despite losing the Emmy — for that matter, Isaac wasn’t even nominated for the Emmy.
That bodes well for Grant, who coincidentally also plays a real-life gay man intent on killing: Jeremy Thorpe, a closeted British politician who ordered the murder of his former lover Norman Scott (played by Ben Whishaw). But Scott survived, and Thorpe was subsequently acquitted. Grant ranks second in our predictions with 39/10 odds, but he’s backed by almost half of Gold Derby Editors who cover awards year-round, so the rest of our users may be underestimating him.
“A Very English Scandal” premiered on Amazon on June 29, about a month after the 2018 Emmy eligibility period ended, so Grant didn’t face off against Criss at those awards. That means the Globes get first crack at this “Scandal,” and the Hollywood Foreign Press Association often likes to be the first to anoint a buzzworthy new show. Comparatively, “Versace” might look like old news to them since it concluded way back in March.
And Hugh Grant already has a strong track record at the Globes. He has been nominated four times for Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor: he won for “Four Weddings and a Funeral” (1994) and earned subsequent bids for “Notting Hill” (1999), “About a Boy” (2002) and “Florence Foster Jenkins” (2016). The last of those films was directed by Stephen Frears, who also helmed “A Very English Scandal.”
So will Criss carry over his momentum from the Emmys, or will this be Grant’s chance to make a (successful) killing?
Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on December 6. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our TV forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.