Emilia Clarke (“Game of Thrones”) has earned three Emmy nominations for Best Drama Supporting Actress (2013, 2015-2016) for playing crusading queen-in-the-making Daenerys Targaryen. But for season seven, as Dany inches closer to the Iron Throne, Clarke is hoping for an Emmy promotion, entering as a lead actress for the first time. Will she make the cut? Our All-Star Top 24 Users think so.
Our All-Star Users got the highest scores when you combine Emmy predictions from the last two years, so their picks have greater weight when calculating our racetrack odds. But while Clark ranks seventh with 22/1 odds based on the combined predictions of all Gold Derby users who have entered their picks thus far, our All-Stars are more optimistic. They rank her among the top six likely nominees with far better odds of 12/1, with 15 out of the 24 All-Stars betting on her to make the cut.
If those All-Stars are right it wouldn’t be the first time an actor has gotten an upgrade at the Emmys. Allison Janney did it twice, earning supporting and then lead nominations for drama (“The West Wing”) as well as comedy (“Mom”). Jon Cryer did it too for “Two and a Half Men.” And so did the cast of “Friends,” all of whom submitted as supporting actors for seven seasons before all promoting themselves to lead status in 2002, resulting in nominations for Matthew Perry and Matt LeBlanc and a win for Jennifer Aniston.
But the actors branch of the TV academy has been ambivalent about “Thrones” over the years. The show has dominated the Emmys with 38 victories to date, more than any other primetime scripted series in history. That includes two victories for Best Drama Series (2015-2016). But to date it has only won 2 of its 18 bids for acting, both of them Best Drama Supporting Actor for Peter Dinklage (2011, 2015). So while the show may continue racking up awards in behind-the-scenes categories, it’s less certain how the shakeup will affect the show’s standing in acting races.
But it might actually help “Thrones” actors in both categories. Fans of the show in the academy can consolidate all their support around Clarke for Best Drama Actress, while Lena Headey and Maisie Williams (both nominees in 2016) may be able to stretch their legs a bit without the Mother of Dragons crowding the Best Drama Supporting Actress race.
So do you agree with our All-Stars that the “breaker of chains” will break into new Emmy territory, or should Clarke have stayed in the supporting contest?
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before nominees are announced on July 12. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.