The Emmy for Best Comedy Series remains strictly a two-way race, according to the forecasts of the vast majority of thousands of Gold Derby users. But not everyone agrees on which horse will win that race. The Expert journalists we’ve polled give the slight edge to “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” but most of our users — including last year’s highest-scoring users — think it will be “Atlanta,” tilting the overall momentum in favor of the FX series.
As of this writing 14 of our 26 Experts are betting on a “Maisel” victory: Debra Birnbaum (Variety), Jen Chaney (Vulture), Debbie Day (Rotten Tomatoes), Eric Deggans (NPR), Bonnie Fuller (Hollywood Life), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Chris Harnick (E!), Kelly Lawler (USA Today), Ed Martin (Media Village), Robert Rorke (New York Post), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Ken Tucker (Yahoo), Matt Webb Mitovich (TVLine) and Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby).
The other 12 are predicting an “Atlanta” victory: Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Kerr Lordygan (Rotten Tomatoes), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Michael Schneider (IndieWire), Kaitlin Thomas (TVGuide.com), Anne Thompson (IndieWire), Ben Travers (IndieWire), Adnan Virk (ESPN) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).
But it’s a completely different story when you ask our Top 24 Users who outscored all of us when predicting last year’s Emmy winners. They’re backing “Atlanta” over “Maisel” two-to-one with 16 of them forecasting Donald Glover‘s series and 8 picking the breakout Amazon show. That pushes “Atlanta” ahead overall with leading odds of 1/1, compared to “Maisel” with odds of 3/2. So who’s right?
A victory for either series would be unprecedented. Amazon’s “Maisel” would be the first streaming series to win Best Comedy, and it would be only the second hour-long show to take the prize, following “Ally McBeal” in 1999. And “Atlanta” would be the first basic cable series to prevail in addition to be one of the most dramatic winners of all time. The storylines on “Atlanta” sometimes skew darker than your typical comedy, and Emmy voters in the past have tended to prefer knee-slappers like “Everybody Loves Raymond,” “30 Rock,” “Modern Family” and “Veep.”
But as close as this race is, most of our users are pretty sure we don’t have to worry about a surprise win from one of the other six contenders. “Barry,” “Black-ish,” “Curb Your Enthusiasm,” “GLOW,” “Silicon Valley” and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” trail the front-runners in our predictions by a wide margin. So which side are you on, or do you think we should be taking one of those six other shows more seriously?
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.