Will “Atlanta” or “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” get the last laugh at the Emmys? With three-time reigning champ “Veep” sitting out the year and five-time champ “Modern Family” snubbed for the first time, we are guaranteed a new winner for the first time in eight years. “Atlanta” and “Maisel” have been the favorites for the Best Comedy Series Emmy all season, and the nominations only reinforced that. But which of the two will win? A victory for either would be a milestone: FX’s “Atlanta” would be the first basic cable comedy to win and Amazon’s “Mrs. Maisel” would be the first streaming comedy to take home the top prize.
Our early winner predictions have “Atlanta” out front with 1/1 odds over “Mrs. Maisel (7/5). “Atlanta” already has an Emmy resume, winning two last year — Best Comedy Actor and Best Comedy Directing, both for Donald Glover — out of six nominations, which included Best Comedy Series. It went up to 16 nominations this year, breaking through in the supporting categories for the first time, for Brian Tyree Henry and Zazie Beetz, for its critically adored second season.
Because it returned in March, “Atlanta” has not faced off against “Mrs. Maisel” at an awards show yet. The Amazon series took top honors at the Golden Globes, Critics’ Choice Awards and Producers Guild Awards, along with acting wins for Rachel Brosnahan at the Globes and Critics’ Choice. It received 14 Emmy nominations, including writing and directing for creator Amy Sherman-Palladino, who was last Emmy-nominated for writing a “Roseanne” episode in 1992.
Both shows, however, have the same “con” working against them: Neither is particularly ha-ha funny, which is what tends to win Best Comedy Series. It’s usually knee-slappers like “30 Rock,” “Modern Family” and “Veep” that prevail. Plus, “Mrs. Maisel” would also only be the second hour-long comedy after “Ally McBeal” to win the award.
Neither FX nor Amazon has received an Emmy for a regular series, so a victory for either show would be huge back at home base. FX has won Best Limited Series for “Fargo” and “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story,” and had past drama and comedy contenders “Damages” and “Louie,” respectively. Amazon produced two-time nominee “Transparent,” which has since been crippled by the sexual harassment allegations against former star Jeffrey Tambor.
“Atlanta” is the only basic cable nominee in the lineup, while “Mrs. Maisel” is joined by two other streaming shows: Netflix’s “GLOW” and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt,” but they are in sixth and eighth place in our predictions, respectively. “Barry,” Black-ish,” “Curb Your Enthusiasm” and “Silicon Valley” round out the field.
Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before winners are announced on September 17. Be sure to also predict winners for the Creative Arts ceremonies slated for September 8 and 9. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.