“Get Out” has kicked “Lady Bird” out of the top spot in our Independent Spirit Awards Best Screenplay predictions. As recently as last Friday, Greta Gerwig’s coming-of-age tale was still leading our combined odds, but it’s now tumbled down to second place as Saturday’s ceremony draws near.
With the support of seven Experts, three Editors and nine Top 24 Users, who scored the best last year, Writers Guild Awards champ “Get Out” has a leading 1/1 odds to grab another screenplay win for Jordan Peele this season. “Lady Bird,” still the choice of three Experts, one Editor and 10 Top 24 Users, has fallen to 15/8 odds. “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” their biggest Oscar rival for Best Original Screenplay, is in third with 4/1 odds, followed by “Beatriz at Dinner” (66/1 odds) and “The Lovers” (100/1 odds).
This swap means we’re forecasting a huge night for “Get Out,” as it’s now predicted to win four of the five Spirit Awards it’s up for: Best Picture, Best Director for Peele, Best Screenplay and Best Editing. Best Actor nominee Daniel Kaluuya is in second place behind Timothee Chalamet (“Call Me by Your Name”).
But if voters are in the mood to spread the wealth among the Oscar contenders, Best Screenplay is the only place they can award Gerwig and “Three Billboards”’ Martin McDonagh personally since they were snubbed in Best Director, Gerwig isn’t a producer on Best Picture nominee “Lady Bird,” and “Three Billboards” was omitted from Best Picture.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.