Gold Derby scored an impressively high accuracy rate when predicting BAFTA Award winners: 76.19%, which is 10 points higher than our score last year.
Our official racetrack odds correctly forecasted 16 out of 21 categories, including all top races (Best Picture, Director, acting races, screenplay). Among the contests we got wrong:
Best Film Editing went to “Baby Driver” over “Dunkirk,” which led with the best odds (2/13).
Visual Effects: “Blade Runner 2049” prevailed over our frontrunner “War for the Planet of the Apes.”
Documentary Feature: “I Am Not Your Negro” triumphed over odds-on-favorite “Jane.”
Rising Star: Daniel Kaluuya (“Get Out”) took down media darling Timothee Chalamet (“Call Me By Your Name”).
None of those victories was a big surprise. In all of these four cases, Gold Derby had the winner ranked in second place.
The only shockeroo was “The Handmaiden” victory as Best Foreign Film. It had been ranked in fourth place behind “Elle,” “The Salesman” and “Loveless.”
Scroll through our official odds to see what we got right/ wrong. Use the drop-down menu to compare to the odds generated by predictions of our Experts (76.19%), Editors (80.95%), Top 24 Users (76.19%), Top 24 All Stars (76.19%) and All Users (76.19%). Our official odds are based upon combing them all.
Make your Oscar predictions now so that you’re views are reflected in our official Oscar odds. Update them later as often as you like.