Golden Globes film nominations predictions 2019: Complete racetrack odds in 11 categories

The Golden Globe nominations are on the way! They’ll be announced on Thursday morning, December 6, and while they honor the best in both film and television, it’s the movie awards we’re looking at to potentially set the stage for the rest of the fall and winter awards season to come. So who will make the cut? We’re predicting 11 categories ranging from Best Film Drama to Best Animated Film. Scroll down to see our complete forecasts listed in order of their racetrack odds. Our projected winners are highlighted in gold with potential spoilers in italics.

To generate our racetrack odds, we have polled thousands of Gold Derby users for their picks. That includes Expert journalists from some of the industry’s top media outlets, Gold Derby’s staff of Editors who cover awards throughout the year, the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Globe nominations and the All-Star Top 24 who had the best forecasts when you combine the last two years’ noms. Then, of course, there are our everyday Users, whose collective opinions are often the savviest of all, and one of them will probably come out on top with the best predictions this year.

So will these awards influence the Oscars? Last year they might have done even more than that. They were the first major televised prizes in last year’s awards season, and all Oscar winners for acting got their start here: Gary Oldman (Best Actor for “Darkest Hour”), Frances McDormand (Best Actress for “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”), Sam Rockwell (Best Supporting Actor for “Three Billboards”) and Allison Janney (Best Supporting Actress for “I, Tonya”). The Globes and Oscars agreed on Best Director too: Guillermo Del Toro for “The Shape of Water.” Those champs were unstoppable following their Globe wins, claiming virtually every other prize in sight on their way to the Academy Awards.

But last year the two groups disagreed on Best Picture. The Globes gave Best Film Drama to “Three Billboards,” while the Oscars gave Best Picture to “The Shape of Water” to go along with Del Toro’s directing prize. Still, even though the small Hollywood Foreign Press Association that decides the Globes and the motion picture academy that votes on the Oscars don’t have any overlap in their voting memberships, the Globes are nevertheless an opportunity for contenders to be seen as winners and direct academy members to the films they most need to pay attention to.

So who will be nominated on Thursday morning. See our predictions below, and be sure to make or update your own picks right here in our predictions center before the announcement.

BEST FILM DRAMA
A Star is Born” — 69/20
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 9/2
“BlacKkKlansman” — 6/1
“First Man” — 7/1
“Black Panther” — 15/2

Spoiler: “Bohemian Rhapsody” — 13/1

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTRESS
Lady Gaga, “A Star is Born” — 71/20
Glenn Close, “The Wife” — 19/5
Melissa McCarthy, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 11/2
Viola Davis, “Widows” — 15/2
Yalitza Aparicio, “Roma” — 8/1

Spoiler: Nicole Kidman, “Destroyer” — 16/1

BEST FILM DRAMA ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born” — 69/20
Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody” — 9/2
Ryan Gosling, “First Man” — 5/1
Ethan Hawke, “First Reformed” — 13/2
Willem Dafoe, “At Eternity’s Gate” — 15/2

Spoiler: Hugh Jackman, “The Front Runner” — 25/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL
The Favourite” — 69/20
“Green Book” — 39/10
“Crazy Rich Asians” — 9/2
“Mary Poppins Returns” — 5/1
“Vice” — 11/2

Spoiler: “Eighth Grade” — 42/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS
Olivia Colman, “The Favourite” — 69/20
Emily Blunt, “Mary Poppins Returns” — 19/5
Constance Wu, “Crazy Rich Asians” — 9/2
Elsie Fisher, “Eighth Grade” — 11/2
Charlize Theron, “Tully” — 7/1

Spoiler: Kathryn Hahn, “Private Life” — 25/1

BEST FILM COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR
Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book” — 71/20
Christian Bale, “Vice” — 39/10
Robert Redford, “The Old Man and the Gun” — 9/2
Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Mary Poppins Returns” — 5/1
Nick Robinson, “Love, Simon” — 13/1

Spoiler: Ryan Reynolds, “Deadpool 2” — 25/1

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk” — 69/20
Amy Adams, “Vice” — 4/1
Emma Stone, “The Favourite” — 5/1
Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite” — 7/1
Claire Foy, “First Man” — 15/2

Spoiler: Michelle Yeoh, “Crazy Rich Asians” — 19/2

BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali, “Green Book” — 69/20
Sam Elliott, “A Star is Born” — 9/2
Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” — 9/2
Timothee Chalamet, “Beautiful Boy” — 9/2
Sam Rockwell, “Vice” — 12/1

Spoiler: Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman” — 18/1

BEST FILM DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuaron, “Roma” — 10/3
Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born” — 39/10
Yorgos Lanthimos, “The Favourite” — 5/1
Spike Lee, “BlacKkKlansman” — 7/1
Damien Chazelle, “First Man” — 10/1

Spoiler: Barry Jenkins, “If Beale Street Could Talk” — 13/1

BEST FILM SCREENPLAY
“The Favourite” — 10/3
“Green Book” — 9/2
“If Beale Street Could Talk” — 5/1
“BlacKkKlansman” — 13/2
“A Star is Born” — 19/2

Spoiler: “Vice” — 21/2

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Incredibles 2” — 10/3
“Isle of Dogs” — 39/10
“Ralph Breaks the Internet” — 9/2
“Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse” — 11/2
“The Grinch” — 23/2

Spoiler: “Smallfoot” — 13/1

Be sure to make your Golden Globe predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on December 6. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 Golden Globes taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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