What will happen on Friday morning, December 7, when the 2019 Grammy nominations are unveiled? The announcement was originally scheduled for December 5, but was pushed back two days in light of President George H.W. Bush‘s funeral, so the recording academy left us in suspense for two more days. And there’s lots of suspense given the significant changes the awards are undergoing this year. Scroll down for our complete predictions in the top four general field categories, listed in order of their racetrack odds with our projected winners highlighted in gold and potential spoilers for nominations in italics.
First of all, there will be a lot more Grammy nominees in the general field. The races for Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year and Best New Artist, which combine achievements from all genres, are expanding from five nominees to eight, which might open the door for a more diverse set of contenders. That’s what the academy is hoping for anyway, since the changes they have made were in response to backlash over their treatment of female and hip-hop artists.
Behind the scenes, the Grammys also established a diversity task force to address issues of inclusion in the recording academy’s practices. And they expanded the academy with 900 new member invites while also making the nomination review committees more equitable to female voters, who made up 51% of this year’s panels. Those committees make the final decisions in the top categories, so that could make a big difference in the general field.
But the methodology of Gold Derby’s predictions remains the same. Our odds are generated by combining the predictions of thousands of our users, including the Editors who cover awards year-round for the site, the Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s nominations and the All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ nominations predictions. But our largest bloc of predictors by far are the everyday Users, whose collective wisdom is often better than any one person’s forecasts.
See who we’re betting on below. And be sure to make or update your own predictions right here before Friday’s announcement on “CBS This Morning” at 8:30am Eastern.
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
“Dirty Computer,” Janelle Monae — 6/1
“Everything is Love,” The Carters — 6/1
“Invasion of Privacy,” Cardi B — 15/2
“Golden Hour,” Kacey Musgraves — 8/1
“Scorpion,” Drake — 9/1
“Reputation,” Taylor Swift — 19/2
“Sweetener,” Ariana Grande — 16/1
“Black Panther,” Various Artists — 22/1
Spoiler: “From A Room: Volume 2,” Chris Stapleton — 28/1
RECORD OF THE YEAR
“This is America,” Childish Gambino — 9/2
“God’s Plan,” Drake — 15/2
“I Like It,” Cardi B feat. Bad Bunny and J Balvin — 8/1
“Perfect,” Ed Sheeran and Beyonce — 17/2
“The Middle,” Zedd, Maren Morris and Grey — 10/1
“Girls Like You,” Maroon 5 feat. Cardi B — 23/2
“Apeshit,” The Carters — 15/1
“Shallow,” Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper — 16/1
Spoiler: “Meant to Be,” Bebe Rexha feat. Florida Georgia Line — 37/1
SONG OF THE YEAR
“This is America,” Childish Gambino — 4/1
“God’s Plan,” Drake — 15/2
“Girls Like You,” Maroon 5 feat. Cardi B — 17/2
“Boo’d Up,” Ella Mai — 21/2
“Delicate,” Taylor Swift — 23/2
“Shallow,” Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper — 23/2
“The Middle,” Zedd, Maren Morris and Grey — 13/1
“Meant to Be,” Bebe Rexha feat. Florida Georgia Line — 20/1
Spoiler: “No Tears Left to Cry,” Ariana Grande — 22/1
BEST NEW ARTIST
Dua Lipa — 9/2
Ella Mai — 5/1
Troye Sivan — 13/2
Luke Combs — 17/2
Marshmello — 21/2
Bebe Rexha — 11/1
Greta Van Fleet — 11/1
Juice WRLD — 23/2
Spoiler: H.E.R. — 35/1
Be sure to make your Grammy predictions so that Hollywood record executives and top name stars can see how their music is faring in our Grammy odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominations are announced on Friday, December 7. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Grammys taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.