Good news, Jennifer Lawrence: You’re probably safe from the Razzies’ wrath for ‘Mother!’

It came as a surprise, at least to me, when Darren Aronofsky‘s avant garde Biblical thriller “Mother!” earned three Razzie nominations: Worst Actress (Jennifer Lawrence), Worst Supporting Actor (Javier Bardem) and Worst Director (Aronofsky). I wrote at the time how unjustified I thought its nominations were. I’m always happy to see Razzie voters thinking outside the box and not just checking off whatever new “Transformers” or Tyler Perry movies are available — though they nominated those too. But “Mother!” was actually one of the better movies of 2017. The good news for lead actress Lawrence is that most of our users don’t expect her to win.

As of this writing nearly 1,000 Gold Derby users have entered their Razzie picks in our predictions center, and they rank Lawrence fourth in the Worst Actress race with 5/1 odds. She’s not totally out of the woods as Expert journalist Edward Douglas thinks she’ll win. So do 3 of our Top 24 Users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Razzies, and 2 off our All-Star Top 24 who got the highest scores when you combine the last two years’ winners. The current favorite to win Worst Actress with 7/5 odds is Katherine Heigl (“Unforgettable”), who is nominated for the fourth time, but hasn’t won yet — though she probably doesn’t mind being an also-ran at these anti-kudos.

It’s not uncommon for the Razzies to target Oscar winners who stumble. Consider Halle Berry, who won Worst Actress for “Catwoman” (2004) three years after winning the Best Actress Oscar for “Monster’s Ball.” Sandra Bullock actually won Worst Actress (“All About Steve”) and Best Actress (“The Blind Side”) on the very same weekend: both films had opened in 2009. And Eddie Redmayne won Worst Supporting Actor for “Jupiter Ascending” (2015) the year after winning Best Actor for “The Theory of Everything” and the same year he got a second consecutive Best Actor nomination for “The Danish Girl.”

But those Razzie-contending films actually received poor reviews. While “Mother!” was divisive, most critics actually liked it. It scored 75 on MetaCritic and 69% freshness on Rotten Tomatoes. Those numbers are actually higher than she got for her film “Joy” (2015), for which she earned her fourth Oscar nomination and won her third Golden Globe. Justin Chang (Los Angeles Times) wrote, “We are with Lawrence every step of the way,” and Peter Bradshaw (The Guardian) added that she “carries the movie.” Not bad for one of the five worst actresses of the year.

Do you agree with our users that Lawrence is probably safe from the Razzies’ wrath?

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Be sure to make your Razzie predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 3. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Razzie Awards taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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