Can Matt Smith ride surprise Emmy nomination for ‘The Crown’ to a win?

Let’s be honest, no one was really expecting Matt Smith to earn an Emmy nomination for his sterling work in Netflix’s “The Crown.” Hoping, yes. But, expecting? No. It was more than a pleasant surprise, then, to hear the former Doctor’s name being read out when the nominees for the Best Drama Supporting Actor category was announced. But can Smith now go one step further and actually win the thing?

Well, his odds aren’t actually that bad considering he wasn’t expected to be nominated. He’s currently sat in fourth place with 50/1 odds. 50/1 doesn’t sound amazing but, still, he’s ahead of Nikolaj Coster-Waldau of “Game of Thrones,” who many did expect to be given a nomination. He’s also ahead of Emmy veteran Mandy Patinkin of “Homeland,” who earned his seventh Emmy nomination this year, previously winning for Best Drama Actor for “Chicago Hope” in 1995.

So, Smith isn’t doing so badly. Ahead of him are Joseph Fiennes (“The Handmaid’s Tale”), Peter Dinklage (“Game of Thrones”) and David Harbour (“Stranger Things”). These three gentlemen may seem difficult to overcome but, actually, they might not be. Fiennes is a first-time nominee just like Smith, only he doesn’t have the fan base that Smith has. The only thing is, “The Handmaid’s Tale” is a more popular show with Emmy voters than ‘The Crown’ is. Still, there may be more passionate support for Smith than for Fiennes.

SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with latest predictions

Dinklage is an Emmy darling, having been handed his seventh nomination for playing Tyrion Lannister. However, he’s already won twice – maybe voters will want to shine the spotlight on someone else and reward another this time around, rather than just heaping more praise onto Dinklage? Smith could take advantage of that fact.

But, so too could the frontrunner Harbour. The “Stranger Things” actor does have a wealth of support and the fact this is his second Emmy nomination for the show and in general bodes well for him. Harbour has gone through the whole first-time nominee and eventual loser phase, whereas he is now a second time nominee – meaning Emmy voters may feel this is the right time to reward him.

Be sure to make your Emmy predictions today so that Hollywood insiders can see how their TV shows and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions as often as you like until just before winners are announced on September 17. And join in the fun debate over the 2018 Emmy taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our television forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

More News from GoldDerby