We think Miranda Lambert’s reign will end at the CMA Awards 2018

Miranda Lambert has been like a freight train plowing through the Country Music Association Awards. In the last eight years she has won Female Vocalist of the Year seven times, almost twice as many times as the next most awarded women (Martina McBride, Reba McEntire and Carrie Underwood with four apiece). But the hundreds of Gold Derby users who have predicted the CMAs in our predictions center think she’ll be handed only her second loss this decade.

This year we’re betting on Kacey Musgraves. The singer-songwriter has contended four times before, losing three of those bids to Lambert (2013-2015) and once to Underwood (2016). She wasn’t even nominated in 2017, but she leads our 2018 forecasts with odds of 6/1. That may be due in large part to the album she released in March, “Golden Hour,” which is one of the most acclaimed releases of the year in any genre. It earned her a CMA nomination for Album of the Year, which makes her the only woman in that contest this year. That may signal that she has the support to finally win the Female Vocalist prize.

That said, Musgraves was also nominated for Album of the Year in 2013 for her debut album “Same Trailer Different Park,” and she still lost Female Vocalist to Lambert. And the circumstances were similar because Lambert was in-between albums that year and thus wasn’t nominated for Album of the Year — the same is true in 2018.

In addition, Musgraves has only the two nominations, while Lambert has three: she’s also up for Single of the Year and Musical Event of the Year for collaborating with Jason Aldean on “Drown the Whiskey.” So maybe she’s not as vulnerable as we think and the freight train will just plow right on.

Be sure to make your CMA predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see this year’s contenders are faring in our CMA odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on November 8. And join the discussion on this and more taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our music forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.

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