In our Oscar predictions smackdown, Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Anne Thompson (Indiewire) and Tim Gray (Variety) agree “The Shape of Water” will win Best picture, but I dare to disagree, opting for “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.” Watch video above or listen to the audio podcast version below.
Anne says she’s picking “Shape” because “It’s the PGA winner, it has 13 Oscar nominations and I think Guillermo Del Toro is an auteur who they give a lot of credit for creating an original world. All of the crafts are going to go for it and all of the actors and all of the writers.”
Pete adds, “I think ‘Shape of Water’ is going to pull it out and win because if it’s not a number 1 choice, it’s number 2. The preferential ballot can really help the number 2 movie even more than the number 1 vote because it shows how well liked you are.”
While Tim agrees that “Shape” is out front, he thinks four other flicks are strongly in the running, too. “This year I feel the race is really wide open,” he adds.
See our prediction rankings here – look closely at how they differ and compare to picks by other Experts. See racetrack odds generated when the Experts’ predictions are combined. Make your predictions here and compete against the pros and all Oscar fans to prove that you are the best Academy Awards prognosticator anywhere.
Below: Audio podcast version of our chat. Do a search for GoldDerby at iTunes to subscribe to our podcast channel.
Video produced by David Janove and Andrew Merrill