According to the Oscar predictions of our experts from major media outlets, Pixar’s “Coco” is practically unbeatable in the race for Best Animated Feature. However, as you can see in the chart above, one expert — Tariq Khan (Fox News) — goes rogue in predicting that Cartoon Saloon’s “The Breadwinner” will prevail. While Khan stands alone on this shaky limb, it’s worth noting that 12 of the 23 experts who have “Coco” in their #1 position also have “The Breadwinner” at #2. Could this Oscar race be ripe for an upset?
“Coco” tells the story of Miguel (Anthony Gonzalez), a young boy who’s forbidden to play music by his family. After trying to steal the guitar of late Mexican musician Ernesto de la Cruz (Benjamin Bratt), Miguel is transported to the Land of the Dead where he meets Hector (Gael Garcia Bernal), a skeleton who has secrets of his own. If “Coco” prevails on Oscar night, it would be Pixar’s ninth champ following “Finding Nemo,” “The Incredibles,” “Ratatouille,” “WALL-E,” “Up,” “Toy Story 3,” “Brave” and “Inside Out.”
“The Breadwinner” features the voice talent of Saara Chaudry as Parvana, an Afghani girl growing up under Taliban control. In the politically charged film, she is forced to dress up like a boy in order to support her family. Oscar winner Angelina Jolie serves as one of the film’s executive producers. Cartoon Saloon previously was nominated twice in Best Animated Feature, for “The Secret of Kells” and “Song of the Sea.”
Based on Gold Derby’s predictions, “Coco” has the best odds to win at 8/5, followed by “The Breadwinner” at 9/2 odds. Rounding out the other potential Oscar nominees are “Loving Vincent” (9/2 odds), “The Lego Batman Movie” (13/2 odds) and “Ferdinand” (14/1 odds). See more 2018 Oscar odds and rankings.
A bonafide blockbuster, “Coco” earned more than $180 million at the U.S. box office and was one of best-reviewed films of the year, with a 97% score at Rotten Tomatoes. Comparatively, “The Breadwinner” only amassed $216 thousand and scored a 93% at Rotten Tomatoes.
Both animated films were nominated at the Golden Globes and Annie Awards. In fact, while “Coco” swept the Annie nominations with a leading 13 bids, “The Breadwinner” was right behind it with 10 noms. As for other precursor awards, “Coco” won Best Animated Feature honors at the National Board of Review and the New York Film Critics Circle, while “The Breadwinner” scored a victory with the Los Angeles Film Critics Association.
Be sure to check out how our experts rank Oscar contenders in this and the other top races. Use the drop-down menus at the top of each page to see the other categories. Then take a look at the most up-to-date odds before you make make your Oscar nomination predictions. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.