2019 Oscar predictions: ‘First Man’ and ‘BlacKKKlansman’ lead Best Picture race, according to 650 Gold Derby users

Two films have emerged as early frontunners to win the 2019 Oscars race for Best Picture, according to more than 650 Gold Derby users who made predictions over the past three days.

In the lead with 173 votes is “First Man,” a behind-the-scenes drama by director Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) about the bedeviled NASA effort to land astronaut Neil Armstrong (Ryan Gosling) on the moon. In second place with 134 votes is Spike Lee’s hit “BlacKKKlansman” about an African-American police officer who infiltrated the KKK.

At this point in our reader prediction poll, which was launched last Friday, all other contenders have less than 75 votes. Forecasts are based upon speculation in most cases since a majority of the movies in contention have not yet been released or even seen by film critics or industry insiders. However, many of the contenders will be screened at film festivals in Toronto, Telluride and Venice over the next several weeks. Gold Derby will have reporters at Toronto and Telluride to gauge early buzz.

“If Beale Street Could Talk” is ranked third (72 votes) based upon high hopes for the latest work by director Barry Jenkins (Best Picture winner “Moonlight”). It’s adapted from James Baldwin’s novel about a pregnant Harlem woman who strives to prove her fiance innocent of a crime.

Ranked fourth with 64 votes: “Roma” by Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”) about a middle-class family in Mexico City during the 1970s.

Bradley Cooper’s remake of “A Star Is Born” co-starring Lady Gaga lands in fifth spot with 33 predictions. See the full rankings of frontunners in six top categories: Best Picture, Director, Actor and Actress and Supporting Actor and Actress.

Click here to make your predictions.

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