Despite ruling with critics bodies, Sally Hawkins (“The Shape of Water”) saw her Best Actress momentum stall once the televised awards and industry groups started crowning Frances McDormand (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”). Hawkins sits in third place in our overall Oscar odds behind the two Golden Globe champs McDormand and Saoirse Ronan (“Lady Bird”), but one of our Top 24 Users isn’t throwing in the towel on her yet.
Our user brandon, one of the top predictors of last year’s Oscars, has Hawkins first on his ballot, ahead of McDormand, Ronan, Margot Robbie (“I, Tonya”) and Meryl Streep (“The Post”). His fellow top users are all divided between the consensus top two, with 21 forecasting a win for McDormand and two supporting Ronan.
Hawkins’ nomination is one of 13 for “The Shape of Water” and one of its three for acting. Though her co-stars Octavia Spencer and Richard Jenkins aren’t frontrunners in their categories, it’s not improbable for “Shape” to carry a victory for Hawkins’ poignant, mute performance, especially if it wins Best Picture. The same can be said for “Three Billboards,” which also has three acting nominations, with Sam Rockwell favored to defeat co-star Woody Harrelson in Best Supporting Actor.
Though she lost to McDormand at the Globes, Critics’ Choice and Screen Actors Guild Awards, Hawkins, who was previously Oscar-nominated for her supporting turn in “Blue Jasmine” (2013), can boost her chances with a victory at the BAFTAs or at the very least give McDormand something to think about. The BAFTAs have often favored home-grown talent and Hawkins is currently in second place in our odds there.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.