This year, 15 performers reaped bids at all three key precursor prizes — the SAG, Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice awards. Such recognition certainly warrants getting up early on Oscar nominations mornings. But as James Franco (“The Disaster Artist”) and Hong Chau (“Downsizing”) found out, reaping bids for that triple crown still didn’t make them sure things in the Oscars derby. They became the most recent of the 21 performers to stumble at the last hurdle and suffer an Oscar snub since the Critics’ Choice Awards introduced nominations in 2001.
Franco should take comfort from the case of Leonardo DiCaprio, who finally won an Oscar two years ago for “The Revenant” after four losses. There were two instances when he didn’t even reap an Oscar nomination despite having done well in the run-up awards. He was spurned by the actors branch of the academy for his leading performance in “J. Edgar” (2011) and his turn in “The Departed” (2006). In the case of the latter film, which went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars, he was the victim of category confusion.
DiCaprio had earned lead nominations at the Globes and Critics’ Choice and a supporting one at SAG. At the Globes and Critics’ Choice, he had competed against himself in the Best Actor race, having also reaped bids for “Blood Diamond” but the Oscars don’t allow this. At SAG, he contended in lead only for “Blood Diamond” and went on to earn a Best Actor nomination at the Oscars for that role. He lost all four of those lead races to Forest Whitaker (“The Last King of Scotland”).
Be sure to compare this roster of also-rans with the 16 performers who defied the odds and reaped Oscar bids without contending at any of these awards. The ones who accomplished this singular feat at the expense of those who ran the board are indicated below in italics.
Paul Giamatti, “Sideways” (2004)
bumped by Clint Eastwood, “Million Dollar Baby”
Russell Crowe, “Cinderella Man” (2005)
bumped by Terrence Howard (“Hustle and Flow”), who had contended at Critics’ Choice and Globes.
Ryan Gosling, “Lars and the Real Girl” (2007)
bumped by Tommy Lee Jones, “In the Valley of Elah”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “J. Edgar” (2011)
bumped by Gary Oldman, “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
John Hawkes, “The Sessions” (2012)
bumped by Joaquin Phoenix (“The Master”), who had contended at Critics’ Choice and Globes.
Tom Hanks, “Captain Phillips” (2013)
bumped by Christian Bale (“American Hustle”), who had contended at Critics’ Choice and Globes.
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Nightcrawler” (2014)
bumped by Bradley Cooper (“American Sniper”)
Angelina Jolie, “A Mighty Heart” (2007)
bumped by Laura Linney, “The Savages”
Tilda Swinton, “We Need to Talk About Kevin” (2011)
bumped by Rooney Mara (“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”), who had contended only at Globes.
Marion Cotillard, “Rust and Bone” (2012)
bumped by Quvenzhane Wallis (“Beasts of the Southern Wild”), who had contended only at Critics’ Choice.
Emma Thompson, “Saving Mr. Banks” (2013)
bumped by Amy Adams (“American Hustle”), who had contended only at Globes.
Jennifer Aniston, “Cake” (2014)
bumped by Marion Cotillard (“Two Days, One Night”), who had contended only at Critics’ Choice.
Amy Adams, “Arrival” (2016)
bumped by Ruth Negga (“Loving”), who had contended at Critics’ Choice and Globes.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Departed” (2006): Best Actor at both Critics’ Choice and Golden Globes; Best Supporting Actor (SAG)
This Oscar race only included one nominee — Eddie Murphy (“Dreamgirls”) — who had contended at all three precursor awards; he won all three as well. However, the Oscar went to Alan Arkin (“Little Miss Sunshine”) who had been snubbed by the Globes. The other three slots went to: SAG nominee Jackie Earle Haley (“Little Children”); SAG and Critics’ Choice nominee Djimon Honsou (“Blood Diamond”); and Globe nominee Mark Wahlberg (“The Departed”).
Daniel Bruhl, “Rush” (2013)
bumped by Jonah Hill, “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Michael Shannon, “99 Homes” (2015)
bumped by Tom Hardy (“The Revenant”), who contended at Critics’ Choice.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cameron Diaz, “Vanilla Sky” (2001)
bumped by Jennifer Connelly (“A Beautiful Mind”), who had contended in lead at SAG but supporting at Globes and Critics’ Choice.
Mila Kunis, “Black Swan” (2010)
bumped by Jacki Weaver (“Animal Kingdom”), who had contended at Globes and Critics’ Choice.
Helen Mirren, “Trumbo” (2015)
bumped by Rachel McAdams (“Spotlight”), who had contended at Globes and SAG.
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films and performers are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on March 4. And join in the fierce debate over the 2018 Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our movie forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.