In a recent poll, we asked Gold Derby readers which actor was most likely to snag an Oscar nomination without support from important industry precursors. With many outstanding performances to choose from, the results were quite divided.
Winning the poll with a solid 36% of the vote is Jake Gyllenhaal. His performance in “Stronger” earned the actor critical praise and his many fans hope he can defy the odds to finally secure Oscar nomination #2. But 27% of respondents are rooting for Robert Pattinson in “Good Time,” who captivates as a morally unsound bank robber attempting to free his brother from prison. In a close third place, 20% of voters think Patrick Stewart will land the first Academy Award nomination of his storied career for his tragic performance in “Logan.”
Despite appearing in “The Post” and “The Shape of Water” (in addition to his awards bid for “Call me by Your Name”), Michael Stuhlbarg could only muster 15% of support. At least he performed better than Harry Dean Stanton, who is shooting for a posthumous nomination with “Lucky.” This character actor netted just 1% of the vote for his little seen film.
If you disagree with these results, there is still time to boost support for your favorite actor. Remind yourselves of the awards season successes of these men below and continue to make your voice heard in our poll. Then check Gold Derby to see if any of these performers were favored by the awards gods when Oscar nominations are announced tomorrow morning.
Jake Gyllenhaal, “Stronger” – Given his diverse career, most people probably think Jake Gyllenhaal has a half dozen Oscar nominations by now. But The Academy has not invited him to the party since “Brokeback Mountain.” He will try again once more with his portrayal of real-life Boston bombing survivor in “Stronger.” He showed up at Critics Choice but was then shunned by SAG, BAFTA, and the Globes. Will his Oscar misfortunes continue, or will fans finally be able to rejoice?
Robert Pattinson, “Good Time” – Robert Pattinson demonstrated a complete about face from his “Twilight” character with a gritty performance as a bank robber in “Good Time.” Several critics groups took notice of Pattinson’s ability to shed his standard image, and he was nominated at the Gothams and Independent Spirit Awards. This new chapter of Pattinson’s career looks like it will get him invited to the Oscars at some point. “Good Time” might be what puts him on the Academy’s radar.
Harry Dean Stanton, “Lucky” – The respected “in the trenches” character actor Harry Dean Stanton sadly passed away last year. But not before filming the beautiful swan song “Lucky,” a film inspired by his life, directed by friend John Carroll Lynch and co-starring frequent collaborator David Lynch. Stanton was nominated at the Gotham and Satellite awards, but has not registered since. But such a glorious send-off that even A-list celebs rarely receive should be catnip to the actors branch. Provided they actually watch it.
Patrick Stewart, “Logan” – “Logan” marked Sir Patrick Stewart’s sixth appearance as Charles Xavier, and he saved the best for last. The character driven film provides Stewart a haunting monologue near the film’s conclusion which lead to Supporting Actor nominations from Critics Choice and a slew of regional critics groups. Since this beloved thespian has never been Oscar nominated and “Logan” garnered a surprise WGA nom, will the Academy finally pay attention?
Michael Stuhlbarg, “Call me by Your Name” – It might seem crazy to list Michael Stuhlbarg as a shocking nominee. He is featured in three likely Best Picture nominees, and in “Call me by Your Name” he delivers one of the most gut wrenching monologues of the year. But this assumed safe bet has just the Critics Choice as his only major nomination. The Golden Globes, SAG, and even Gotham awards shunned Stuhlbarg. Competition with his co-star Armie Hammer is probably to blame, but will the Academy really forget about one of this year’s MVPs?
Be sure to make your Oscar nomination predictions so that Hollywood studio executives can see how their films are faring in our Academy Awards odds. Don’t be afraid to jump in now since you can keep changing your predictions until just before nominees are announced on January 23.